Arizona
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
43  Claire Green SR 19:40
87  Addi Zerrenner JR 19:54
200  Jennie Baragar-Petrash SO 20:16
442  Kayla Young FR 20:46
674  Kayla Ferron SR 21:06
1,130  Thea Ramsey JR 21:36
1,237  Annie Richards SO 21:43
1,946  Hannah Whetzel JR 22:29
2,501  Sydney Belus FR 23:15
National Rank #32 of 348
West Region Rank #7 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 13.3%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 4.9%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 2.7%
Top 10 in Regional 96.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Claire Green Addi Zerrenner Jennie Baragar-Petrash Kayla Young Kayla Ferron Thea Ramsey Annie Richards Hannah Whetzel Sydney Belus
Paul Short Gold 09/29 702 19:49 20:00 20:15 20:56 21:42 22:10 22:36
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 23:18
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 674 19:33 19:43 20:32 20:52 21:45 22:00 22:32
Pac-12 Championship 10/27 641 19:47 20:18 19:52 20:44 21:07 21:32 22:36 22:27 23:49
West Region Championships 11/10 529 19:35 19:51 20:02 20:43 20:42 21:16 22:35





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 13.3% 22.2 537 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 7.4 251 0.1 0.2 2.5 13.3 50.0 18.4 8.6 4.1 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Claire Green 79.9% 49.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.1
Addi Zerrenner 33.4% 70.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1
Jennie Baragar-Petrash 14.0% 129.3
Kayla Young 13.3% 202.0
Kayla Ferron 13.3% 229.5
Thea Ramsey 13.3% 246.0
Annie Richards 13.5% 248.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Claire Green 15.5 0.2 0.4 1.1 0.8 1.6 2.2 2.6 3.3 3.6 4.5 4.9 5.8 5.3 5.6 5.4 5.8 4.8 5.0 4.4 4.4 3.8 2.4 3.0 2.1 2.0
Addi Zerrenner 24.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.5 3.2 3.1 3.7 3.1 4.6 3.7 4.7 3.9 4.1 4.4
Jennie Baragar-Petrash 43.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.8
Kayla Young 70.8 0.1
Kayla Ferron 90.6
Thea Ramsey 131.4
Annie Richards 140.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 3
4 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 4
5 2.5% 85.7% 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.1 5
6 13.3% 58.5% 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.4 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.3 5.5 7.8 6
7 50.0% 6.0% 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.7 1.1 47.0 3.0 7
8 18.4% 1.4% 0.1 0.2 18.1 0.3 8
9 8.6% 8.6 9
10 4.1% 4.1 10
11 1.9% 1.9 11
12 0.8% 0.8 12
13 0.3% 0.3 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 13.3% 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.7 1.1 1.3 2.1 1.5 1.4 1.5 86.7 0.0 13.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 58.3% 1.0 0.6
SMU 20.8% 1.0 0.2
Missouri 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Wake Forest 2.5% 2.0 0.0
Abilene Christian 1.6% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Miss State 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Arizona State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dayton 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.9
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0