BYU
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
60  Laura Young SR 19:45
105  Courtney Wayment SO 19:59
148  Olivia Hoj SO 20:08
213  Kristi Rush SR 20:18
220  Ashleigh Warner SR 20:19
284  Sara Musselman FR 20:29
401  Britney Lund FR 20:42
503  Whitney Rich FR 20:51
513  Kate Hunter FR 20:52
538  Madelyn Brooks JR 20:54
687  Kearan Nelson FR 21:07
690  Emma Gee JR 21:07
726  Maddie Cannon SO 21:10
777  Amanda Erickson FR 21:13
National Rank #17 of 348
Mountain Region Rank #4 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 89.2%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 15.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 63.1%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 86.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Laura Young Courtney Wayment Olivia Hoj Kristi Rush Ashleigh Warner Sara Musselman Britney Lund Whitney Rich Kate Hunter Madelyn Brooks Kearan Nelson
BYU Autumn Classic 09/16 551 19:56 20:08 20:16 20:23 20:24 20:40 20:40 20:51 21:47
Steven Reeder Invitational 10/06 1175
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 869 20:17 21:07 20:38 20:41 20:41
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 433 19:38 19:55 20:03 20:04 20:43 20:34
West Coast Conference 10/27 396 19:42 19:40 20:07 20:20 20:09 20:27 20:52 21:07 20:49
Mountain Region Championships 11/10 469 19:41 20:02 20:14 20:21 20:14 20:43 21:06





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 89.2% 16.7 451 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.7 2.4 2.5 4.0 4.4 5.2 4.8 4.8 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.0 4.1 3.4 3.7 3.5 4.7 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.4 2.2 1.7 1.5 1.3 0.7
Region Championship 100% 4.1 127 0.1 0.8 38.2 32.0 15.3 9.9 2.9 0.7 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Laura Young 94.9% 61.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.0
Courtney Wayment 90.0% 96.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2
Olivia Hoj 89.4% 123.2 0.1 0.1
Kristi Rush 89.3% 151.5
Ashleigh Warner 89.2% 154.1
Sara Musselman 89.2% 180.0
Britney Lund 89.2% 207.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Laura Young 12.8 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 2.0 2.8 5.1 5.9 6.0 6.1 7.6 6.9 7.8 6.6 6.2 4.8 4.6 4.3 3.5 3.3 2.4 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.4
Courtney Wayment 19.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.9 2.4 3.7 4.1 4.9 6.0 6.1 5.2 5.7 5.4 5.1 5.1 4.4 4.5 3.6
Olivia Hoj 25.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.1 2.7 3.0 4.0 3.7 4.7 3.5 4.6 5.2 4.6 4.3
Kristi Rush 32.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.1 2.0 2.1 1.8 3.1 2.4 3.5 3.3
Ashleigh Warner 33.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.2 1.4 2.0 1.8 2.6 3.1 3.2
Sara Musselman 41.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.4
Britney Lund 54.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 0.8% 100.0% 0.8 0.8 2
3 38.2% 99.3% 0.4 0.5 1.5 8.1 8.3 7.0 4.0 2.6 2.0 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.2 38.0 3
4 32.0% 98.0% 0.1 0.2 1.0 5.7 6.2 5.6 3.1 2.6 1.9 2.0 2.2 0.8 0.6 31.3 4
5 15.3% 89.9% 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.7 2.0 1.6 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.6 13.8 5
6 9.9% 48.7% 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.6 5.1 4.8 6
7 2.9% 15.5% 0.1 0.2 0.3 2.5 0.5 7
8 0.7% 0.7 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 89.2% 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.6 1.8 9.1 14.1 14.1 11.3 7.6 6.9 5.8 6.4 6.0 4.4 10.9 0.9 88.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 97.2% 1.0 1.0
Washington 96.0% 1.0 1.0
Texas 58.3% 1.0 0.6
Eastern Kentucky 45.5% 1.0 0.5
Ohio State 37.3% 1.0 0.4
Louisville 33.4% 1.0 0.3
Virginia Tech 27.9% 1.0 0.3
SMU 20.8% 1.0 0.2
Northern Arizona 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Missouri 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Duke 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Arizona 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Wake Forest 2.5% 1.0 0.0
Abilene Christian 1.6% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.6% 2.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Arizona State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dayton 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.5
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 10.0