Central Arkansas
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,291  Taylor Dunn JR 21:47
1,967  Charlotte Blair FR 22:30
2,009  Sara Shaw JR 22:34
2,142  Abbey Foreman SR 22:43
2,170  Erin Woodward SO 22:45
2,196  Alejandra Ruiz JR 22:47
2,466  Kaylee Stewart SO 23:12
2,499  Layne Sargeson SR 23:15
National Rank #241 of 348
South Central Region Rank #22 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 10.7%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Taylor Dunn Charlotte Blair Sara Shaw Abbey Foreman Erin Woodward Alejandra Ruiz Kaylee Stewart Layne Sargeson
UCA Open 09/09 1249 21:28 21:46 22:45 22:35 22:11 22:39 23:26 23:06
Rhodes College Invitational 09/16 1429 22:52 23:06
Texas A&M Invitational 09/23 1265 22:05 22:19 22:28 22:13 23:09 22:37
Chile Pepper Festival 09/29 1270 21:42 22:33 22:38 22:48 22:19 23:22 23:36 23:22
Southland Conference 10/27 1270 21:32 23:25 22:09 22:43 22:29 23:10 22:56 23:17
South Region Championships 11/10 21:50





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 22.3 588 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 2.7 6.0 12.9 26.5 34.4 10.8 4.8



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Dunn 73.7
Charlotte Blair 121.5
Sara Shaw 126.0
Abbey Foreman 137.0
Erin Woodward 139.6
Alejandra Ruiz 141.4
Kaylee Stewart 169.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.4% 0.4 16
17 0.7% 0.7 17
18 0.8% 0.8 18
19 2.7% 2.7 19
20 6.0% 6.0 20
21 12.9% 12.9 21
22 26.5% 26.5 22
23 34.4% 34.4 23
24 10.8% 10.8 24
25 4.8% 4.8 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0