Central Michigan
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
255  Megan O'Neil JR 20:25
464  Taylor Aguillon SR 20:47
694  Hannah Davis SR 21:08
1,304  Alexis Grandys FR 21:48
1,638  Samantha Allmacher JR 22:08
2,086  Paula Merino FR 22:38
2,112  Erin Zdrosewski JR 22:40
2,122  Ana Garcia FR 22:41
2,300  Natalie Beaulieu SO 22:57
2,530  Carissa Gobbi FR 23:19
National Rank #117 of 348
Great Lakes Region Rank #17 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.6%
Top 20 in Regional 97.3%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Megan O'Neil Taylor Aguillon Hannah Davis Alexis Grandys Samantha Allmacher Paula Merino Erin Zdrosewski Ana Garcia Natalie Beaulieu Carissa Gobbi
MSU Spartan Invitational 09/15 982 20:20 20:25 20:57 23:12 22:25 22:48 22:43 22:30 22:31
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 1084 20:24 21:04 21:12 21:42 22:10 22:55 22:41 22:34 22:57 23:24
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 22:23 22:51 23:53
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 1071 20:36 20:20 21:38 22:31 23:25
Mid-American Championship 10/28 1021 20:10 21:07 21:06 21:11 21:54 22:26 22:57 23:21
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/10 1088 20:28 20:54 21:15 22:00 22:25 22:35 22:38





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 16.5 473 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.9 5.6 9.2 13.8 16.4 16.3 13.0 12.5 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan O'Neil 3.1% 141.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan O'Neil 36.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.7 2.2 2.0 2.4
Taylor Aguillon 61.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2
Hannah Davis 85.0
Alexis Grandys 131.3
Samantha Allmacher 155.8
Paula Merino 188.2
Erin Zdrosewski 190.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.4% 0.4 10
11 1.0% 1.0 11
12 2.9% 2.9 12
13 5.6% 5.6 13
14 9.2% 9.2 14
15 13.8% 13.8 15
16 16.4% 16.4 16
17 16.3% 16.3 17
18 13.0% 13.0 18
19 12.5% 12.5 19
20 6.3% 6.3 20
21 2.1% 2.1 21
22 0.5% 0.5 22
23 0.3% 0.3 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0