Colorado St.
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
291  Ali Kallner JR 20:30
329  McKenna Spillar SR 20:34
370  Macy Kreutz JR 20:39
406  Darby Gilfillan SR 20:42
407  Dominique Ward SR 20:42
488  Mary Franke SR 20:50
784  Kate White JR 21:14
893  Roxy Trotter JR 21:21
1,326  Devon Peterson FR 21:49
National Rank #59 of 348
Mountain Region Rank #9 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 3.7%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 4.1%
Top 10 in Regional 94.1%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ali Kallner McKenna Spillar Macy Kreutz Darby Gilfillan Dominique Ward Mary Franke Kate White Roxy Trotter Devon Peterson
Roy Griak Invitational 09/23 825 20:31 20:21 20:57 21:01 20:34 20:36 21:42 21:41 22:44
Rocky Mountain Shootout 09/30 21:37
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 903 20:38 20:35 20:40 21:01 20:55 20:46 21:32
Mountain West Championship 10/27 914 20:37 20:56 20:39 20:48 20:45 20:52 20:49 21:05 21:30
Mountain Region Championships 11/10 724 20:23 20:37 20:25 20:17 20:35 21:05 21:22





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 3.7% 28.0 664 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.9
Region Championship 100% 8.3 251 0.2 1.0 3.0 5.6 17.6 27.6 27.6 11.8 3.5 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ali Kallner 6.0% 154.0
McKenna Spillar 4.4% 163.0
Macy Kreutz 3.8% 174.5
Darby Gilfillan 3.8% 183.3
Dominique Ward 3.7% 182.4
Mary Franke 3.7% 197.8
Kate White 3.7% 233.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ali Kallner 42.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9
McKenna Spillar 46.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.6
Macy Kreutz 51.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5
Darby Gilfillan 54.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2
Dominique Ward 55.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3
Mary Franke 62.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Kate White 88.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.2 3
4 1.0% 75.0% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 4
5 3.0% 40.7% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 1.8 1.2 5
6 5.6% 17.1% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 4.6 1.0 6
7 17.6% 3.4% 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 17.0 0.6 7
8 27.6% 27.6 8
9 27.6% 27.6 9
10 11.8% 11.8 10
11 3.5% 3.5 11
12 1.3% 1.3 12
13 0.8% 0.8 13
14 0.3% 0.3 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 3.7% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.1 96.4 0.0 3.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Abilene Christian 1.6% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Arizona State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0