Columbia
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
122  Nell Crosby SR 20:02
171  Erin Gregoire JR 20:12
237  Erin Melly SR 20:22
276  Sarah Hardie SR 20:27
287  Fiona Danieu SO 20:29
544  Chloe Binczyk SR 20:55
565  Bianca Alonzo SO 20:56
610  Libby Kokes JR 21:00
632  Serena Tripodi FR 21:02
736  Abigail McLaughlin SO 21:10
797  Victoria Ingram SR 21:15
992  Alexandra Hays FR 21:28
1,299  Katie Wasserman SO 21:48
1,428  Hana Sun SO 21:56
1,549  Samantha Marin FR 22:02
2,571  Emily Digman SO 23:23
2,596  Jenna Farrell SO 23:26
National Rank #30 of 348
Northeast Region Rank #2 of 44
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 80.5%
Most Likely Finish 29th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 18.4%


Regional Champion 27.1%
Top 5 in Regional 92.1%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nell Crosby Erin Gregoire Erin Melly Sarah Hardie Fiona Danieu Chloe Binczyk Bianca Alonzo Libby Kokes Serena Tripodi Abigail McLaughlin Victoria Ingram
Columbia Invite 09/08 511 19:54 20:08 20:19 20:29 20:09 20:22 20:53 21:17 20:57
Iona College Meet of Champions 09/15 1111 20:43 21:09
Paul Short Brown 09/29 1192 21:15
Sam Bell Invitational 09/30 555 19:55 20:16 20:17 20:20 20:20 21:22 20:58 20:36 21:15 21:37
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 532 19:41 20:09 20:13 20:19 20:49 20:34 21:29
Princeton Invitational 10/14 1095 20:46 20:59 21:33 21:10
Ivy League Championship 10/27 600 20:01 20:21 20:18 20:29 20:20 21:13 20:26 21:04 21:07 21:00 21:13
Northeast Region Championships 11/10 728 20:48 20:06 20:24 20:21 21:56 20:42





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 80.5% 24.4 589 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.0 2.7 2.7 3.0 2.9 3.7 4.0 4.8 5.3 5.4 7.2 6.7 7.7 7.3 7.4
Region Championship 100% 2.8 110 27.1 26.2 18.5 12.5 7.8 4.1 3.0 0.7 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nell Crosby 82.4% 103.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Erin Gregoire 81.0% 133.6
Erin Melly 80.5% 161.6 0.1
Sarah Hardie 80.5% 175.3
Fiona Danieu 80.5% 179.0
Chloe Binczyk 80.5% 224.0
Bianca Alonzo 80.5% 227.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nell Crosby 10.0 0.1 1.0 2.4 4.5 5.5 7.0 7.7 8.1 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.6 5.8 4.0 4.0 3.5 2.7 2.9 2.2 2.1 1.7 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.9
Erin Gregoire 14.9 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.8 3.3 3.2 3.9 5.9 4.4 6.1 5.4 5.2 5.2 4.3 4.8 3.9 3.6 4.4 4.9 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.4 1.9
Erin Melly 21.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.9 3.1 2.7 2.9 2.3 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.7 3.8 4.3 4.7 3.9 3.5 4.1 4.1 3.5
Sarah Hardie 25.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.6 2.3 2.0 3.0 1.8 2.5 3.1 3.0 3.6 4.0 3.7 4.6 3.8 3.6
Fiona Danieu 27.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.3 1.8 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.9 2.9 3.7
Chloe Binczyk 56.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7
Bianca Alonzo 61.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 27.1% 100.0% 27.1 27.1 1
2 26.2% 100.0% 26.2 26.2 2
3 18.5% 84.3% 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.6 2.1 1.9 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.0 2.9 15.6 3
4 12.5% 78.8% 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.6 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 2.7 9.9 4
5 7.8% 21.2% 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 6.2 1.7 5
6 4.1% 2.4% 0.1 4.0 0.1 6
7 3.0% 3.0 7
8 0.7% 0.7 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
Total 100% 80.5% 27.1 26.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 1.8 3.0 4.5 4.1 3.8 2.2 1.9 2.2 2.2 19.6 53.3 27.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Iowa State 98.3% 1.0 1.0
California 58.5% 1.0 0.6
Utah 43.1% 1.0 0.4
Indiana 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Air Force 32.3% 1.0 0.3
Eastern Michigan 29.6% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 26.5% 1.0 0.3
Baylor 17.5% 1.0 0.2
Yale 14.2% 1.0 0.1
Cornell 13.1% 1.0 0.1
Virginia 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 5.6% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Notre Dame 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 9.0