Duke
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
141  Amanda Beach FR 20:07
159  Michaela Reinhart FR 20:10
263  Sophia Parvizi-Wayne SO 20:26
531  Lindsay Billings SO 20:53
709  Sheridan Wilbur JR 21:09
750  Kim Hallowes JR 21:12
1,437  Leigha Torino FR 21:56
1,466  Olivia Gwynn JR 21:58
2,239  Veronica Brtek SO 22:51
National Rank #48 of 348
Southeast Region Rank #7 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 7.8%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.6%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 13.3%
Top 10 in Regional 90.3%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Amanda Beach Michaela Reinhart Sophia Parvizi-Wayne Lindsay Billings Sheridan Wilbur Kim Hallowes Leigha Torino Olivia Gwynn Veronica Brtek
Paul Short Gold 09/29 824 20:20 20:18 20:39 20:50 21:34 20:55
ECU Pirates Invitational 10/13 21:26 21:47 23:09
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 702 20:06 20:15 20:24 20:45 20:39 22:19
ACC Championship 10/27 740 19:56 19:53 20:39 21:05 21:00 23:11 22:04 21:05
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 761 20:05 20:10 20:24 21:12 20:54 21:15 22:56





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 7.8% 27.0 650 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.3 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.0
Region Championship 100% 7.7 233 0.1 1.6 4.5 7.1 12.6 21.7 20.8 12.8 9.3 5.4 2.8 1.3 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Amanda Beach 11.2% 98.8
Michaela Reinhart 10.9% 112.5 0.1 0.1
Sophia Parvizi-Wayne 7.8% 156.5
Lindsay Billings 7.8% 212.8
Sheridan Wilbur 7.8% 232.6
Kim Hallowes 7.8% 234.8
Leigha Torino 8.0% 250.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Amanda Beach 21.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.8 1.5 1.4 2.4 3.0 2.8 4.5 4.1 4.9 5.3 5.6 6.2 4.8 4.9 3.8 4.4 3.7
Michaela Reinhart 22.6 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.6 1.4 1.1 2.8 3.3 3.2 3.4 4.6 4.8 5.2 5.2 5.1 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.5
Sophia Parvizi-Wayne 35.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.5 1.2 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.2
Lindsay Billings 66.3 0.1
Sheridan Wilbur 84.5
Kim Hallowes 90.2
Leigha Torino 155.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 1.6% 59.4% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.0 3
4 4.5% 16.7% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.8 0.8 4
5 7.1% 24.1% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 5.4 1.7 5
6 12.6% 12.7% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 11.0 1.6 6
7 21.7% 9.2% 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.5 19.7 2.0 7
8 20.8% 3.1% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 20.2 0.7 8
9 12.8% 0.4% 0.1 12.7 0.1 9
10 9.3% 9.3 10
11 5.4% 5.4 11
12 2.8% 2.8 12
13 1.3% 1.3 13
14 0.3% 0.3 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 7.8% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.5 92.2 0.1 7.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 58.3% 1.0 0.6
SMU 20.8% 1.0 0.2
Virginia 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Missouri 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Arizona 2.8% 2.0 0.1
Wake Forest 2.5% 3.0 0.1
Abilene Christian 1.6% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Miss State 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Arizona State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dayton 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0