Long Beach St.
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
877  Mikayla Florez JR 21:20
1,289  Taylor Owen FR 21:46
1,564  Alexis Ceballos JR 22:03
1,688  Julie Vargas SO 22:12
1,844  Mauren Fitzsimmons FR 22:22
2,866  Christie Nesbit SO 24:07
2,917  Chloe Masuda FR 24:17
National Rank #210 of 348
West Region Rank #27 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.7%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Mikayla Florez Taylor Owen Alexis Ceballos Julie Vargas Mauren Fitzsimmons Christie Nesbit Chloe Masuda
UCR Invitational 09/16 1279 21:21 21:59 21:48 22:00 23:59
UCR Highlander Invitational 10/14 1234 21:20 21:46 22:11 21:56 22:18 24:10 24:20
Big West Championship 10/28 1234 21:19 21:41 21:58 22:18 22:26 24:04 24:31
West Region Championships 11/10 1249 21:19 21:52 22:04 22:17 22:55 24:34 24:18





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 26.2 792 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.6 6.1 9.4 12.8 19.4 20.6 17.0 6.0 2.6 0.9



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mikayla Florez 108.1
Taylor Owen 144.7
Alexis Ceballos 166.9
Julie Vargas 179.4
Mauren Fitzsimmons 192.1
Christie Nesbit 259.2
Chloe Masuda 261.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 0.1% 0.1 19
20 0.5% 0.5 20
21 1.6% 1.6 21
22 2.6% 2.6 22
23 6.1% 6.1 23
24 9.4% 9.4 24
25 12.8% 12.8 25
26 19.4% 19.4 26
27 20.6% 20.6 27
28 17.0% 17.0 28
29 6.0% 6.0 29
30 2.6% 2.6 30
31 0.9% 0.9 31
32 0.4% 0.4 32
33 0.3% 0.3 33
34 0.1% 0.1 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0