Oklahoma State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
183  Molly Sughroue SR 20:13
332  Kaytlyn Larson JR 20:34
366  Gintare Zenkeviciute SR 20:38
386  Cheyenne Walden FR 20:40
470  Michelle Magnani SO 20:48
505  Kaylee Dodd SR 20:51
540  Sinclaire Johnson FR 20:54
630  Ariane Ballner FR 21:02
731  Taylor Somers FR 21:10
1,138  Jenny Celis JR 21:37
1,234  Emily Helms SR 21:43
1,734  Kami Hankins SO 22:15
National Rank #55 of 348
Midwest Region Rank #4 of 37
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 12.9%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.7%


Regional Champion 2.1%
Top 5 in Regional 89.0%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Molly Sughroue Kaytlyn Larson Gintare Zenkeviciute Cheyenne Walden Michelle Magnani Kaylee Dodd Sinclaire Johnson Ariane Ballner Taylor Somers Jenny Celis Emily Helms
OSU Cowboy Jamboree (Orange) 09/30 897 20:35 20:45 20:59 20:28 22:00 20:49 20:54 21:03 21:41 21:46
Penn State National Open 10/13 848 20:05 20:42 20:55 20:50 20:42 21:04 20:54 21:14 21:09 21:46
Big 12 Championship 10/28 740 20:10 20:29 20:34 20:24 21:22 20:59 20:46 21:21 21:11 21:42
Midwest Region Championships 11/10 647 20:16 20:09 20:27 20:28 20:48 20:25 20:58





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 12.9% 27.2 653 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.2
Region Championship 100% 3.7 155 2.1 10.0 46.3 19.8 10.8 5.6 2.7 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Molly Sughroue 15.6% 111.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Kaytlyn Larson 13.0% 169.4
Gintare Zenkeviciute 12.9% 179.5
Cheyenne Walden 13.0% 186.1
Michelle Magnani 12.9% 200.4
Kaylee Dodd 12.9% 206.5
Sinclaire Johnson 12.9% 213.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Molly Sughroue 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 2.4 2.4 3.3 5.1 6.9 7.2 8.3 7.4 7.3 6.8 4.8 5.4 4.5 3.8 4.1 2.8 2.5 2.0 1.3 1.5
Kaytlyn Larson 27.9 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.4 2.6 2.1 3.8 3.0 3.3 3.2 4.0 3.4 3.3 3.1
Gintare Zenkeviciute 32.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.6 1.0 2.0 2.2 2.1 3.1 3.0 2.2 2.6 2.4 3.0 2.9
Cheyenne Walden 34.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.9 2.8 2.7
Michelle Magnani 44.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.8 1.5
Kaylee Dodd 48.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.8
Sinclaire Johnson 53.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 2.1% 100.0% 2.1 2.1 1
2 10.0% 100.0% 10.0 10.0 2
3 46.3% 1.7% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 45.5 0.8 3
4 19.8% 0.3% 0.1 19.8 0.1 4
5 10.8% 10.8 5
6 5.6% 5.6 6
7 2.7% 2.7 7
8 1.5% 1.5 8
9 0.8% 0.8 9
10 0.4% 0.4 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
Total 100% 12.9% 2.1 10.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 87.1 12.1 0.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
West Virginia 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0