Princeton
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
127  Gabrielle Forrest JR 20:03
196  Megan Curham SR 20:15
402  Sophie Cantine FR 20:42
414  Melia Chittenden FR 20:43
424  Allie Klimkiewicz JR 20:44
555  Brighie Leach JR 20:56
598  Madison Offstein JR 20:59
624  Rachel Granovsky SO 21:02
676  Melinda Renuart SR 21:06
729  Peyton Brown FR 21:10
762  Melissa Reed SR 21:12
860  Alie Fordyce JR 21:19
902  Madeleine Sumner SO 21:21
1,081  Delaney Miller SR 21:33
1,223  Sierra Castaneda FR 21:43
1,714  Katherine Leggat-Barr FR 22:14
1,947  Marie-Fee Breyer JR 22:29
2,414  Jackie Berardo JR 23:08
2,611  Ashley Forte SR 23:27
2,782  Melana Hammel SR 23:51
National Rank #46 of 348
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #4 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 13.3%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.0%


Regional Champion 0.6%
Top 5 in Regional 91.1%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Gabrielle Forrest Megan Curham Sophie Cantine Melia Chittenden Allie Klimkiewicz Brighie Leach Madison Offstein Rachel Granovsky Melinda Renuart Peyton Brown Melissa Reed
Fordham Fiasco Invitational 09/09 1231 21:05
Paul Short Gold 09/29 777 20:31 20:23 20:31 20:44 20:33 20:45 21:28 20:40
Penn State National Open 10/13 712 20:09 20:07 21:00 20:33 20:36 20:59 20:49 20:47 21:15 21:10 21:05
Princeton Invitational 10/14 1318
Ivy League Championship 10/27 751 19:49 20:35 20:45 21:03 20:37 21:12 20:42 20:48 21:05 21:42 21:50
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/10 716 19:55 20:08 20:38 20:48 20:49 21:03 21:19





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 13.3% 26.8 651 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.2
Region Championship 100% 4.1 127 0.6 3.7 22.1 48.9 16.0 5.7 2.5 0.5 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabrielle Forrest 62.0% 107.6 0.1 0.2 0.1
Megan Curham 32.7% 136.2
Sophie Cantine 13.4% 200.3
Melia Chittenden 13.7% 201.1
Allie Klimkiewicz 13.5% 197.9
Brighie Leach 13.3% 221.5
Madison Offstein 13.3% 227.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabrielle Forrest 8.4 4.8 6.0 6.6 6.8 5.9 5.9 6.1 6.4 4.7 5.2 5.2 5.0 3.8 4.0 3.6 3.1 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.6 1.0 1.0 1.0
Megan Curham 15.8 0.4 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.7 3.3 3.6 4.0 3.8 3.4 4.7 3.9 3.7 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.3 5.0 3.8 3.8 4.1 3.0 3.1 2.9 3.5
Sophie Cantine 33.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.7 1.4 1.4 2.0 2.1 1.9 2.3
Melia Chittenden 33.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.4 1.8 2.9
Allie Klimkiewicz 34.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.9 1.9 1.6 2.8 2.2
Brighie Leach 43.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6
Madison Offstein 47.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.6% 100.0% 0.6 0.6 1
2 3.7% 100.0% 3.7 3.7 2
3 22.1% 22.9% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 17.0 5.1 3
4 48.9% 7.8% 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.0 45.1 3.8 4
5 16.0% 1.3% 0.1 0.2 15.8 0.2 5
6 5.7% 5.7 6
7 2.5% 2.5 7
8 0.5% 0.5 8
9 0.3% 0.3 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 13.3% 0.6 3.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.6 1.5 1.9 86.8 4.2 9.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Cornell 13.1% 2.0 0.3
Oklahoma State 12.1% 1.0 0.1
Duke 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Arizona 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Wake Forest 2.5% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 1.4% 1.0 0.0
West Virginia 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Miss State 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0