San Francisco
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
3  Charlotte Taylor SR 18:51
5  Weronika Pyzik JR 19:09
16  Isabelle Brauer SO 19:22
35  Marie Bouchard SR 19:34
110  Elizabeth Bird SR 20:00
129  Tatjana Schulte JR 20:04
161  Lea Meyer FR 20:10
519  Frederique LaTraverse SR 20:52
646  Valerie Almanza FR 21:04
916  Alena Ulrichova SR 21:22
National Rank #2 of 348
West Region Rank #1 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 1st at Nationals


National Champion 31.5%
Top 5 at Nationals 93.6%
Top 10 at Nationals 99.7%
Top 20 at Nationals 100.0%


Regional Champion 65.1%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Charlotte Taylor Weronika Pyzik Isabelle Brauer Marie Bouchard Elizabeth Bird Tatjana Schulte Lea Meyer Frederique LaTraverse Valerie Almanza Alena Ulrichova
Roy Griak Invitational 09/23 89 19:06 19:04 19:21 19:23 19:52 19:44 19:54 20:39 20:45
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 164 18:54 19:00 19:16 20:03 19:58 19:59 21:23
West Coast Conference 10/27 121 18:50 19:09 19:19 19:39 19:51 20:00 20:19 21:26 21:22
West Region Championships 11/10 150 18:54 19:09 19:15 19:39 20:17 20:06 20:36





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 2.6 138 31.5 24.1 18.9 12.2 6.9 3.1 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.5 56 65.1 25.7 7.4 1.8 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Charlotte Taylor 100% 2.5 19.5 21.9 16.1 11.4 7.5 5.1 3.7 2.5 2.4 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Weronika Pyzik 100% 9.0 1.1 3.4 5.4 7.0 8.3 8.0 6.2 5.6 5.3 4.7 3.7 3.2 4.0 3.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 1.8 1.3 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.5 1.1 1.2
Isabelle Brauer 100% 20.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.8 2.5 2.9 2.4 3.0 3.5 3.1 3.3 3.1 3.6 3.8 2.3 3.0 2.9 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.0
Marie Bouchard 100% 40.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.6 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.8
Elizabeth Bird 100% 102.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3
Tatjana Schulte 100% 116.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
Lea Meyer 100% 132.9 0.1 0.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Charlotte Taylor 1.0 61.2 19.0 9.7 4.2 2.6 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Weronika Pyzik 3.6 5.3 21.2 16.1 12.9 11.7 8.8 6.2 5.1 3.1 2.7 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Isabelle Brauer 7.5 0.5 3.6 7.5 7.7 9.0 8.5 9.2 7.7 7.3 6.7 5.7 5.3 4.4 4.1 2.7 2.2 1.7 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.4
Marie Bouchard 12.8 0.2 1.3 1.7 3.4 3.9 4.7 5.5 5.8 6.0 6.1 6.6 6.6 5.8 5.4 4.8 5.2 4.2 3.3 3.4 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.8 1.3
Elizabeth Bird 29.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.5 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.3 3.0 3.9 4.3 3.0 3.0
Tatjana Schulte 32.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.3 3.1 2.2 2.6 2.6
Lea Meyer 37.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.5 2.0 2.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 65.1% 100.0% 65.1 65.1 1
2 25.7% 100.0% 25.7 25.7 2
3 7.4% 100.0% 6.9 0.4 0.1 7.4 3
4 1.8% 100.0% 1.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.8 4
5 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.2 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 100.0% 65.1 25.7 6.9 1.5 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 90.7 9.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Carolina St. 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Minnesota 99.9% 2.0 2.0
Stanford 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Boise State 99.6% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 98.3% 2.0 2.0
Furman 97.9% 1.0 1.0
Wisconsin 96.1% 1.0 1.0
Washington 96.0% 1.0 1.0
Providence 95.8% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 90.4% 2.0 1.8
Columbia 78.2% 1.0 0.8
California 58.5% 1.0 0.6
Utah 43.1% 1.0 0.4
Indiana 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Air Force 32.3% 1.0 0.3
Eastern Michigan 29.6% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 26.5% 1.0 0.3
Baylor 17.5% 1.0 0.2
Yale 14.2% 1.0 0.1
Virginia 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 5.6% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Abilene Christian 1.6% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota 0.9% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Notre Dame 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Arizona State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 16.3
Minimum 8.0
Maximum 22.0