UC Davis
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
552  Sarah Anderson SO 20:55
965  Julia Lemak SO 21:26
1,051  Megan MacGregor JR 21:31
1,054  Haley Adel SO 21:31
1,295  Christine Bayliss SO 21:47
1,912  Alexis Ballman FR 22:27
2,417  Lauren Powers SO 23:08
National Rank #162 of 348
West Region Rank #22 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 20th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 65.8%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sarah Anderson Julia Lemak Megan MacGregor Haley Adel Christine Bayliss Alexis Ballman Lauren Powers
UCR Invitational 09/16 1156 20:59 21:22 21:03 21:37 23:10 23:16
Penn State National Open 10/13 1189 20:58 21:12 22:02 21:34 22:37
Big West Championship 10/28 1168 20:40 24:18 22:01 21:23 22:37 22:08 22:50
West Region Championships 11/10 1159 20:45 21:39 21:20 21:37 22:06 23:17





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 20.0 594 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.0 3.9 14.2 22.0 23.7 14.3 9.8 5.2 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Anderson 79.4
Julia Lemak 115.8
Megan MacGregor 124.2
Haley Adel 124.3
Christine Bayliss 145.8
Alexis Ballman 198.3
Lauren Powers 233.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 0.2% 0.2 14
15 0.8% 0.8 15
16 1.0% 1.0 16
17 3.9% 3.9 17
18 14.2% 14.2 18
19 22.0% 22.0 19
20 23.7% 23.7 20
21 14.3% 14.3 21
22 9.8% 9.8 22
23 5.2% 5.2 23
24 2.9% 2.9 24
25 1.6% 1.6 25
26 0.5% 0.5 26
27 0.1% 0.1 27
28 0.1% 0.1 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0