Warren Central
Boys - Girls
1999 - 2000 - 2001
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State Rank #6
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #4
Franklin Central Regional Rank #2
Brebeuf Jesuit II Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 6th place at State Finals
State Champion 2.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 40.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 87.3%
Advance to State Finals 95.2%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
9  Aaron Harding 12 15:55
66  Tyron Green 11 16:38
67  Brandon Cole 10 16:38
Josh Lantz 12 16:47
Shawn Moore 11 16:56
Jason Smith 12 16:59
Derek Nickleson 12 17:15




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 95.2% 6.3 207 2.1 5.7 8.7 10.6 13.6 14.1 11.4 9.7 6.8 4.6 3.4 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 3.4 104 7.3 15.3 26.3 33.4 12.9 4.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.7 38 37.3 56.4 6.3
Sectionals 100% 1.1 23 93.6 6.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Harding 99.9% 10.1 0.3 1.8 3.6 4.9 6.1 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.9 6.3 5.7 5.3 5.1 4.7 3.8 3.6 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.2 1.7 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.0 97.1% 99.8%
Tyron Green 95.2% 61.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0% 18.5%
Brandon Cole 95.2% 62.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2% 18.4%
Josh Lantz 95.2% 79.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 3.9%
Shawn Moore 95.2% 94.0 0.0% 0.5%
Jason Smith 95.2% 97.5 0.0% 0.3%
Derek Nickleson 95.2% 118.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Harding 100% 3.7 0.8 13.6 21.0 22.4 18.2 10.7 5.7 3.2 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Tyron Green 100% 22.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.4 3.3 3.5 3.7 4.3 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.4 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.8 99.8%
Brandon Cole 100% 22.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.7 3.7 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.4 4.3 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.3 99.7%
Josh Lantz 100% 30.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.6 1.7 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.6 96.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Harding 100% 1.6 1.1 84.8 10.1 3.1 0.9 0.1 100.0%
Tyron Green 100% 7.1 2.9 5.5 9.3 13.9 16.5 14.6 12.2 9.2 7.3 4.5 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Brandon Cole 100% 7.3 2.6 5.6 8.9 13.5 15.5 14.8 12.5 10.0 7.3 4.5 2.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Josh Lantz 100% 10.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.4 6.6 9.6 13.0 12.9 13.6 12.4 11.1 7.3 4.0 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Harding 1.5 1.2 98.8 0.0 0.0
Tyron Green 3.4 37.6 34.2 17.5 7.4 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Brandon Cole 3.4 36.9 33.2 18.5 7.7 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Josh Lantz 5.1 5.0 13.1 30.5 25.5 14.9 6.9 2.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0