Boys - Girls
Manchester Semi-State
2000 - 2001 - 2002



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Kaleb Van Ort 12 DeKalb 15:38 #2  
2  Sean Threewits 12 Union City 15:52 #6  
3  Josh Wolfe 11 DeKalb 16:10 #17  
4  Paul Perales 11 Wawasee 16:17 #22  
5  Cody Brown 12 Central Noble 16:17 #23  
6  Mark Stahl 10 DeKalb 16:18 #27  
7  Terrell Coatie 12 New Castle 16:23 #33  
8  Alan Hiner 10 Fremont 16:28 #42  
9  Ryan Nord 12 Northridge 16:30 #43  
10  Cody Hannie 11 Snider 16:31 #47  
11  Adam Truex 12 Norwell 16:32 #49  
12  Brian Mills 12 Richmond 16:36 #54  
13  Matt Cummins 11 Elkhart Memorial 16:37 #56  
14  Nick Stoffel Huntington North 16:37 #57  
15  Jerad Craig 11 Northridge 16:39 #64  
16  Chris Kempf 11 Carroll (FW) 16:39 #67  
17  Ryan Stichter 11 Wawasee 16:39 #68  
18  Kurt Rahn 12 New Castle 16:39 #69  
19  Corey Drake 11 Northrop 16:41 #71  
20  Alex Harvey 11 Marion 16:44 #79  
21  Andy O'Connor 11 Homestead 16:45 #81  
22  David Gray 12 Richmond 16:47 #82  
23  Kyle Stairs 10 Leo 16:48 #83  
24  Brennon Plotner 10 Northrop 16:49 #87  
25  Luke Stoffel 10 Wawasee 16:50 #89  
26  Trevor Hughes 10 Huntington North 16:52 #96  
RankNameRegionalRatingState Rank
1  DeKalb Elkhart Central 326 #6  
2  Northridge Elkhart Central 352 #7  
3  Huntington North Manchester 384 #10  
4  Snider Bellmont 418 #16  
5  Northrop Bellmont 467 #23  
6  Norwell Bellmont 518 #26  
7  Concordia Lutheran Bellmont 531 #28  
8  Central Noble Elkhart Central 546 #31  
9  New Haven Bellmont 557 #34  
10  East Noble Elkhart Central 560 #35  
11  Wawasee Elkhart Central 571 #37  

Other unranked teams:
Carroll (FW) Manchester 595
New Castle Delta 623
Richmond Delta 636



Semi-State Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
DeKalb 100.0% 1.9 112 46 172 34.9 42.6 18.7 3.4 0.4 0.0
Northridge 100.0% 2.2 114 36 223 41.5 24.3 19.1 9.3 3.1 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Huntington North 100.0% 3.2 133 44 245 16.4 19.4 28.5 18.3 8.5 4.1 2.0 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Snider 100.0% 4.4 152 54 248 6.1 9.6 18.8 28.0 15.5 8.3 5.0 3.5 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1
Northrop 100.0% 6.1 175 60 271 1.0 2.7 7.6 16.2 21.5 14.4 11.7 8.2 5.3 4.0 2.9 2.1 1.5 0.9
Wawasee 100.0% 7.6 193 127 293 0.0 0.6 5.0 13.2 18.9 17.0 13.8 9.9 7.8 5.5 4.1 2.6 1.7
Norwell 100.0% 8.3 198 106 286 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.3 9.8 12.9 13.6 12.5 11.4 9.6 8.1 6.4 5.1 3.2
New Haven 100.0% 8.4 199 107 299 0.1 0.6 2.4 6.1 10.0 12.2 12.1 11.1 10.1 8.6 7.7 7.1 6.4 5.5
Concordia Lutheran 100.0% 9.8 211 114 292 0.3 1.1 2.8 5.5 7.4 8.5 9.3 9.4 10.1 10.8 11.2 12.4 11.4
Central Noble 100.0% 9.9 213 114 295 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.7 5.8 8.8 10.6 13.3 13.6 12.9 11.8 10.2 8.0
East Noble 100.0% 10.0 215 107 305 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.1 4.8 6.9 7.7 8.6 9.5 10.0 10.7 11.0 12.0 14.7
Carroll (FW) 100.0% 10.5 220 131 313 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.2 5.3 6.6 8.8 9.6 10.7 11.5 13.3 14.1 15.7
New Castle 100.0% 10.9 222 166 318 0.0 0.4 1.3 3.7 7.9 12.2 15.6 16.9 16.3 14.6 11.0
Richmond 100.0% 11.9 233 156 325 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.7 4.3 6.4 8.1 12.0 16.2 20.6 27.9


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Kaleb Van Ort DeKalb 15:38 100.0% 1.0 82.0 17.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
Sean Threewits Union City 15:52 100.0% 1.5 17.4 62.5 12.0 4.6 1.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Josh Wolfe DeKalb 16:10 100.0% 3.5 9.3 30.3 20.8 13.1 8.4 6.1 3.8 2.3 1.8 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Paul Perales Wawasee 16:17 100.0% 5.0 0.3 3.7 16.0 15.2 14.9 11.7 9.5 6.8 5.4 3.9 3.1 2.5 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.2
Cody Brown Central Noble 16:17 100.0% 5.4 0.3 3.2 14.7 13.8 13.8 12.2 9.9 7.1 5.3 4.6 3.2 2.9 2.1 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.4
Mark Stahl DeKalb 16:18 100.0% 5.7 1.5 7.9 16.0 15.0 14.3 10.0 7.6 5.8 4.8 3.8 2.8 2.4 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.4
Terrell Coatie New Castle 16:23 100.0% 7.2 0.1 1.2 6.9 9.2 10.1 10.5 10.2 9.2 7.7 6.2 5.6 4.4 3.6 2.9 2.2 2.1 1.7 1.1 1.3 0.7
Alan Hiner Fremont 16:28 100.0% 9.7 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.4 6.2 6.7 8.0 8.1 7.7 7.8 6.4 6.1 5.1 4.4 3.9 3.7 2.8 2.5 2.2 1.9
Ryan Nord Northridge 16:30 100.0% 10.4 0.4 2.3 3.8 5.0 6.1 7.2 7.5 7.7 7.1 6.9 6.0 5.9 5.2 4.4 3.7 3.5 3.0 2.9 2.2
Cody Hannie Snider 16:31 100.0% 11.4 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.9 4.3 5.4 6.2 6.6 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.3 6.1 4.9 4.9 4.5 4.1 3.1 2.9 2.3
Adam Truex Norwell 16:32 100.0% 12.1 0.1 1.5 2.2 3.6 4.6 5.0 6.4 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.1 5.7 5.2 4.9 4.6 4.4 3.6 3.2 2.7
Brian Mills Richmond 16:36 100.0% 14.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.4 2.9 4.1 4.9 5.2 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.2 5.0 4.9 4.6 4.1 3.3
Matt Cummins Elkhart Memorial 16:37 99.6% 15.0 0.0 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.8 3.3 4.0 4.8 4.8 5.4 5.2 5.0 5.6 5.1 5.2 4.8 4.8 4.4 3.9
Nick Stoffel Huntington North 16:37 100.0% 15.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.2 4.3 4.8 5.0 5.4 5.4 5.0 5.9 5.4 5.9 5.0 4.6 4.2 4.1
Jerad Craig Northridge 16:39 100.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.3 3.2 3.8 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.5 4.2
Chris Kempf Carroll (FW) 16:39 100.0% 16.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.1 2.8 3.1 4.3 4.2 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.3 4.8 5.1 4.8 4.4 4.3
Ryan Stichter Wawasee 16:39 100.0% 16.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.4 3.4 4.0 4.3 4.8 5.0 5.1 5.5 5.3 5.0 4.6 4.7 4.2 4.6
Kurt Rahn New Castle 16:39 100.0% 16.6 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.3 3.3 4.1 4.4 4.8 4.8 5.5 5.3 5.1 5.2 4.7 4.6 4.0 4.3
Corey Drake Northrop 16:41 100.0% 17.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.7 2.9 3.9 4.0 4.4 5.3 4.7 5.0 4.8 4.5 4.9 4.5 4.7
Alex Harvey Marion 16:44 100.0% 20.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.6 2.8 3.3 3.4 3.6 4.1 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.5 4.7
Andy O'Connor Homestead 16:45 98.5% 21.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.7 4.0 4.7 4.4 4.2 4.0
David Gray Richmond 16:47 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.8 1.8 2.4 2.7 2.7 3.2 3.7 3.8 4.1 4.2 3.9
Kyle Stairs Leo 16:48 97.6% 23.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.8 3.4 3.8 3.9
Brennon Plotner Northrop 16:49 100.0% 24.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.6 2.8 2.6 3.3 3.4 4.0 3.9
Luke Stoffel Wawasee 16:50 100.0% 25.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.7 2.9 2.9 3.6 3.2 3.8
Trevor Hughes Huntington North 16:52 100.0% 26.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.4 2.5 3.0 2.8 3.2