Carmel
Boys - Girls
2001 - 2002 - 2003
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State Rank #5
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #3
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Carmel Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 3rd place at State Finals
State Champion 7.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 67.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 94.3%
Advance to State Finals 95.5%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
7  Matt Kotlarski 12 15:59
64  Joel Shaw 10 16:36
66  Dan Gasper 12 16:37
73  Will Peters 9 16:39
Bryan Walker 11 16:52
Nic Bitting 12 16:53
Justin Thomas 12 16:56
Michael Murphy 11 16:59
James Rich 12 17:03




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 95.5% 4.4 160 7.0 15.2 16.1 15.3 13.6 11.1 8.4 4.2 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 3.3 113 7.3 24.4 25.8 23.2 14.8 3.4 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.3 32 66.0 34.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 21 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Kotlarski 99.1% 8.8 0.0 0.7 7.4 8.0 7.9 7.5 6.6 6.3 6.2 5.3 4.9 5.2 4.1 3.3 3.3 2.7 2.5 2.7 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.9 79.0% 98.1%
Joel Shaw 95.5% 55.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.0% 9.9%
Dan Gasper 95.5% 57.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.0% 8.4%
Will Peters 95.5% 60.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.0% 6.0%
Bryan Walker 95.5% 87.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.3%
Nic Bitting 95.5% 90.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.1%
Justin Thomas 95.5% 94.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Kotlarski 100% 4.4 0.0 1.1 23.8 19.4 14.8 11.0 7.9 6.0 4.1 2.7 2.4 1.9 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Joel Shaw 100% 29.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.8 2.8 2.7 3.0 2.8 2.8 96.4%
Dan Gasper 100% 30.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.9 2.6 2.8 2.9 95.4%
Will Peters 100% 33.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.7 93.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Kotlarski 100% 1.0 70.9 19.9 5.1 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Joel Shaw 100% 7.6 1.6 4.6 5.6 8.7 10.7 11.4 11.9 10.3 9.7 7.1 5.8 3.9 3.1 2.1 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Dan Gasper 100% 8.1 0.0 1.1 3.0 5.2 7.7 10.2 10.5 11.2 10.6 9.4 8.0 7.2 5.4 3.6 2.5 1.9 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Will Peters 100% 8.8 0.8 2.2 3.9 6.1 7.9 9.3 11.0 10.8 10.4 9.2 7.9 6.0 4.7 3.6 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Kotlarski 1.0 98.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Joel Shaw 3.5 0.0 20.2 20.1 19.3 16.1 12.0 8.1 2.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Dan Gasper 3.8 15.9 19.2 19.5 16.9 13.3 9.3 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.1
Will Peters 4.3 0.0 11.3 14.9 17.5 18.9 15.8 12.6 5.6 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0