Northridge
Boys - Girls
2003 - 2004 - 2005
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State Rank #2
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 26.6%
Top 5 at State Finals 77.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 97.8%
Advance to State Finals 99.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
16  Braxton Fritz 12 16:05
33  Ken Collins 12 16:16
63  Loren Spirito 10 16:33
97  Ladd Mercer 9 16:42
104  Andy Williams 11 16:44
Brock Wappes 10 17:12
Nate Yoder 11 17:17




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.8% 3.7 150 26.6 17.0 13.9 11.1 9.2 6.3 5.5 3.9 3.3 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 1.4 72 74.3 16.6 6.1 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.1 35 87.3 11.5 1.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.2 26 80.3 19.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Braxton Fritz 100.0% 17.7 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.9 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.7 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.3 3.5 3.5 4.1 3.6 3.7 2.7 3.3 3.9 3.6 4.3 3.2 3.2 75.0% 98.6%
Ken Collins 99.9% 30.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.0 1.5 2.3 1.7 2.8 1.9 2.3 2.4 3.0 2.9 2.6 1.7 25.0% 86.1%
Loren Spirito 99.8% 55.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.0% 29.1%
Ladd Mercer 99.8% 70.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0% 7.9%
Andy Williams 99.8% 73.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0% 6.2%
Brock Wappes 99.8% 118.5 0.0% 0.0%
Nate Yoder 99.8% 125.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Braxton Fritz 100% 4.4 9.8 12.0 12.0 11.8 12.5 9.5 7.6 7.6 4.5 3.7 2.9 1.8 1.6 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ken Collins 100% 8.8 0.5 2.0 3.1 4.6 6.8 9.1 9.0 8.5 8.0 8.1 7.5 6.4 4.8 4.2 3.8 2.7 2.3 2.0 1.3 2.0 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 100.0%
Loren Spirito 100% 18.9 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.4 2.7 2.7 3.1 4.0 4.4 4.3 4.7 5.5 4.8 5.4 5.6 4.3 4.1 4.4 4.1 3.8 4.3 95.2%
Ladd Mercer 100% 25.9 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.8 2.2 2.9 3.1 3.3 2.5 3.8 4.0 4.9 4.0 4.8 4.9 77.5%
Andy Williams 100% 28.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.7 1.7 2.4 2.9 2.6 3.7 3.9 2.9 4.1 4.1 3.1 70.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Braxton Fritz 100% 1.9 26.4 25.1 20.7 13.2 6.7 3.8 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ken Collins 100% 4.3 1.7 9.0 13.6 19.8 18.2 12.2 9.9 7.6 3.1 2.8 1.5 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Loren Spirito 100% 9.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 4.8 7.6 9.8 12.0 13.8 12.2 11.1 7.8 6.1 4.7 3.4 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ladd Mercer 100% 12.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.6 2.9 4.9 7.0 8.5 10.8 11.9 11.1 10.2 7.7 6.6 5.9 3.1 1.9 1.7 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.3 100.0%
Andy Williams 100% 13.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.8 3.7 5.8 6.5 8.6 11.5 10.2 10.7 10.4 8.1 5.6 4.8 2.6 2.7 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Braxton Fritz 1.0 49.9 31.8 11.2 5.4 1.7 0.1 0.1
Ken Collins 2.6 4.5 24.9 34.5 17.3 16.4 2.3 0.2 0.1
Loren Spirito 5.4 0.1 0.6 4.5 14.8 17.1 33.7 19.6 6.9 2.4 0.4 0.2
Ladd Mercer 7.0 0.9 2.8 6.9 13.3 26.8 29.3 16.4 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.1
Andy Williams 7.3 0.3 2.1 3.9 11.0 22.5 31.6 23.0 4.3 1.0 0.4 0.1