Carmel
Boys - Girls
2004 - 2005 - 2006
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State Rank #2
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #2
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Carmel Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 16.5%
Top 5 at State Finals 83.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 95.0%
Advance to State Finals 95.2%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
19  Will Peters 12 16:04
35  Jacob Rich 11 16:17
41  Chad Bowman 11 16:22
Kevin Courtney 10 16:50
Scott Ellabarger 12 16:50
Logan Rosenberg 9 17:01
Jack Wharton 12 17:03
J.D. Smith 9 17:05




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 95.2% 3.3 152 16.5 22.3 19.0 15.5 10.3 5.7 3.1 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.8 123 18.2 27.8 25.9 16.2 7.1 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.2 42 83.6 15.0 1.3 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 24 99.5 0.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Peters 95.7% 18.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.0 2.3 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.8 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.1 3.3 3.1 2.9 10.6% 74.1%
Jacob Rich 95.2% 32.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.6 0.0% 27.1%
Chad Bowman 95.2% 38.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 0.0% 13.6%
Kevin Courtney 95.2% 80.7 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Ellabarger 95.2% 81.7 0.0 0.0% 0.0%
Logan Rosenberg 95.2% 98.6 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Wharton 95.2% 102.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Peters 100% 11.3 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.2 4.1 4.5 5.8 6.4 7.2 7.2 7.4 7.2 7.0 6.3 5.6 4.7 4.3 3.5 2.6 2.3 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.7 100.0%
Jacob Rich 100% 19.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.1 2.7 3.3 4.0 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.6 6.1 5.9 5.5 5.2 5.0 4.4 3.9 3.5 99.9%
Chad Bowman 100% 22.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.5 3.3 4.1 3.9 4.4 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.7 4.7 5.1 4.6 99.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Peters 100% 2.8 0.2 26.1 28.9 23.3 15.3 4.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jacob Rich 100% 5.3 1.2 6.2 13.7 21.6 26.4 16.7 7.3 3.2 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Chad Bowman 100% 6.2 0.2 2.1 6.1 13.5 22.1 26.7 13.2 6.8 4.3 2.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Peters 1.0 87.5 10.2 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jacob Rich 1.8 7.3 54.6 27.0 7.1 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Chad Bowman 2.5 2.1 23.6 49.4 13.9 5.9 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0