Northridge
Boys - Girls
2004 - 2005 - 2006
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State Rank #10
New Haven Semi-State Rank #3
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 8th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 10.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 66.4%
Advance to State Finals 90.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
16  Loren Spirito 11 16:02
63  Ladd Mercer 10 16:33
86  Andy Williams 12 16:41
Nate Yoder 12 17:00
Mitch Keyser 9 17:39
Garan Galbreath 11 17:42
Jeremy Miltroka 11 17:45




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 90.1% 8.8 248 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.0 5.7 9.3 11.3 13.2 12.3 10.0 8.2 6.2 4.4 2.6 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
Semi-State 100% 3.0 119 23.3 22.7 19.3 15.4 9.5 5.3 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.3 43 76.4 19.4 3.5 0.7 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.2 32 82.0 18.0 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Loren Spirito 99.8% 17.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.5 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.7 4.1 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.4 3.6 3.6 2.9 2.8 2.6 97.9% 99.8%
Ladd Mercer 90.4% 52.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 3.2% 49.5%
Andy Williams 90.1% 65.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1% 21.5%
Nate Yoder 90.1% 95.5 0.0% 0.6%
Mitch Keyser 90.1% 141.1 0.0% 0.0%
Garan Galbreath 90.1% 143.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy Miltroka 90.1% 145.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Loren Spirito 100% 2.4 23.0 20.6 16.8 12.6 8.6 6.3 3.8 2.9 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ladd Mercer 100% 15.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.4 3.0 3.9 4.0 4.9 5.4 5.6 5.6 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.2 4.8 5.0 4.2 3.7 3.3 2.7 2.6 2.3 99.9%
Andy Williams 100% 21.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.1 4.6 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.8 5.0 4.5 4.4 4.4 98.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Loren Spirito 100% 1.0 69.8 20.8 6.1 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ladd Mercer 100% 5.4 0.0 4.8 10.7 14.2 14.0 14.4 12.0 9.8 7.8 5.1 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Andy Williams 100% 7.9 0.6 2.1 4.9 7.7 10.3 13.1 13.0 11.7 10.2 8.5 6.9 4.3 3.2 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Loren Spirito 1.0 89.1 9.4 1.3 0.1 0.0
Ladd Mercer 3.1 0.0 18.8 27.7 27.4 15.9 6.2 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.0
Andy Williams 4.5 3.1 10.3 20.7 29.1 19.7 7.8 5.2 3.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0