Carmel
Boys - Girls
2005 - 2006 - 2007
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State Rank #2
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #2
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Carmel Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 26.5%
Top 5 at State Finals 82.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 95.0%
Advance to State Finals 95.3%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
8  Jacob Rich 12 15:46
49  Chad Bowman 12 16:24
69  Logan Rosenberg 10 16:33
81  J.D. Smith 10 16:36
105  Kevin Courtney 11 16:43
Zach Morris 11 17:02
Mike Piganelli 12 17:14




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 95.3% 3.1 147 26.5 20.4 15.2 11.2 8.8 5.6 3.9 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100.0% 2.5 127 31.0 26.6 22.0 11.0 4.6 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.3 52 77.2 16.9 4.5 1.2 0.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.2 33 85.2 12.2 2.5 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Rich 98.9% 8.0 1.9 4.8 6.5 7.3 7.4 6.9 7.3 7.0 5.9 5.7 5.2 4.6 3.8 3.6 3.2 2.7 2.4 2.2 2.1 1.4 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.6 76.6% 98.2%
Chad Bowman 95.3% 42.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.2 0.0% 8.6%
Logan Rosenberg 95.3% 57.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.0% 1.3%
J.D. Smith 95.3% 62.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0% 0.6%
Kevin Courtney 95.3% 73.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0% 0.1%
Zach Morris 95.3% 100.3 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Piganelli 95.3% 116.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Rich 100% 4.5 2.8 12.6 14.4 13.8 12.5 10.0 8.7 6.5 4.8 3.8 2.6 2.2 1.6 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Chad Bowman 100.0% 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.6 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.7 3.6 4.0 4.1 4.2 0.0% 96.5%
Logan Rosenberg 100.0% 36.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.5 2.0 1.9 2.4 0.0% 79.2%
J.D. Smith 100.0% 39.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 0.0% 67.7%
Kevin Courtney 100.0% 46.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.0% 38.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Rich 100% 1.5 28.5 42.1 17.6 7.0 3.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Chad Bowman 100% 9.1 0.1 0.9 2.9 4.6 7.0 8.9 11.2 12.6 13.5 11.4 9.7 6.8 4.4 2.4 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Logan Rosenberg 100% 12.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.7 3.7 5.7 8.6 10.7 11.5 12.7 11.5 9.6 7.1 4.6 3.4 2.1 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 99.6%
J.D. Smith 100% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.4 3.9 5.8 7.8 10.4 11.5 11.7 11.8 9.7 7.0 5.0 3.4 2.5 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 99.1%
Kevin Courtney 100% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.8 3.2 4.7 6.6 9.3 11.2 12.2 11.4 9.3 7.4 5.9 4.7 3.5 2.4 1.7 1.2 95.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Rich 1.0 71.7 20.7 6.2 1.3 0.3 0.0
Chad Bowman 5.1 2.5 7.9 14.6 22.3 29.7 13.3 5.3 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Logan Rosenberg 6.9 0.2 1.0 3.1 7.3 16.0 24.8 19.9 12.2 6.6 3.7 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.D. Smith 7.7 0.1 0.4 1.8 4.3 9.8 18.1 22.9 16.9 9.7 6.7 3.9 2.1 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kevin Courtney 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.4 6.1 13.3 22.4 16.7 11.9 8.5 5.9 4.2 2.8 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0