Elkhart Memorial
Boys - Girls
2005 - 2006 - 2007
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State Rank #10
New Haven Semi-State Rank #2
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #2
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 10th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 4.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 47.4%
Advance to State Finals 92.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
10  Jaurice Dye 12 15:50
76  Derrick Thomas 12 16:35
Race Dorsey 10 16:47
Derrick Bettis 12 17:06
Kevin Longacre 10 17:25
Nicholas Ellis 10 17:47
Tyler Lipa 11 18:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 92.1% 10.5 264 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.3 3.8 5.6 8.2 12.1 13.0 11.5 9.7 7.9 5.9 4.4 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.1
Semi-State 100% 3.1 120 8.1 35.9 24.8 15.0 8.3 4.2 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.2 58 9.5 71.3 14.0 4.3 0.9
Sectionals 100% 2.0 47 10.5 76.2 13.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaurice Dye 100% 10.7 0.7 2.6 4.2 4.7 5.2 6.2 5.4 5.8 5.9 5.3 5.4 5.2 4.9 4.8 4.3 3.9 3.2 3.2 2.6 2.5 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.1 100.0% 100.0%
Derrick Thomas 92.5% 60.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 5.1% 56.8%
Race Dorsey 92.1% 79.8 0.0 0.0 0.1% 15.8%
Derrick Bettis 92.1% 104.7 0.0% 0.5%
Kevin Longacre 92.1% 131.6 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Ellis 92.1% 150.8 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Lipa 92.1% 168.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaurice Dye 100% 1.9 20.2 33.3 25.7 14.6 3.9 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Derrick Thomas 100% 13.8 0.1 0.5 2.0 2.9 4.8 4.8 6.0 6.1 6.4 6.3 5.6 6.0 5.4 4.9 4.6 4.1 3.9 3.3 3.1 2.3 2.1 2.1 1.9 96.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaurice Dye 100% 1.0 65.1 28.7 4.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Derrick Thomas 100% 7.5 0.3 3.1 5.9 8.4 11.4 13.3 13.9 11.2 9.4 6.5 5.1 3.4 2.6 2.0 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaurice Dye 1.0 65.2 30.5 3.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
Derrick Thomas 5.5 0.5 6.6 11.9 17.8 25.6 16.9 9.6 6.0 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1