Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2006 - 2007 - 2008
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State Rank #13
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #6
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #3
Carmel Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 11th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 1.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 18.1%
Advance to State Finals 38.6%
Advance to Semi-State 85.8%
Advance to Regional 95.3%

RankNameGradeRating
49  Colin Dunlap 12 16:24
80  Blake Dircksen 11 16:33
Aaron Becker 12 17:00
Collin Ginebaugh 9 17:03
Cody Marowski 10 17:03
Scott Sorensen 12 17:10
Jake Waterman 11 17:51
Ryan Ferguson 9 17:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 38.6% 10.7 307 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.9 3.6 3.9 4.3 4.8 4.7 4.0 2.8 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 85.8% 7.2 199 0.4 3.2 9.9 12.3 12.7 11.2 10.1 8.4 7.3 5.4 3.9 0.9
Regionals 95.3% 3.7 117 0.0 1.5 56.6 18.7 9.0 5.3 2.8 1.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.6 98 0.1 1.5 56.9 24.1 12.6 4.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colin Dunlap 41.9% 38.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 5.3% 21.8%
Blake Dircksen 38.8% 53.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3% 4.8%
Aaron Becker 38.6% 105.2 0.0% 0.0%
Collin Ginebaugh 38.6% 110.7 0.0% 0.0%
Cody Marowski 38.6% 110.8 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Sorensen 38.6% 123.5 0.0% 0.0%
Jake Waterman 38.6% 168.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colin Dunlap 89.3% 20.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.5 3.4 3.5 3.3 3.6 4.3 4.1 3.9 3.6 4.3 3.5 4.3 3.6 3.5 24.5% 78.2%
Blake Dircksen 86.2% 29.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 3.1 3.0 2.7% 47.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colin Dunlap 96.7% 9.9 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.6 5.2 6.9 8.1 8.6 8.3 7.8 7.4 6.2 6.0 5.3 4.4 4.1 3.4 3.1 2.2 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.4 30.3% 88.4%
Blake Dircksen 95.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 2.7 3.4 4.7 4.5 5.4 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.2 6.1 5.8 5.9 5.7 5.0 4.3 3.7 2.9 2.4 2.0 3.8% 63.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colin Dunlap 9.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.9 7.9 9.5 9.6 9.5 9.2 8.1 7.3 6.5 5.8 4.9 3.6 3.0 1.9 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Blake Dircksen 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 3.2 4.6 5.7 6.6 7.5 7.3 8.3 8.4 8.1 7.7 6.8 6.0 5.4 3.8 3.0 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.2