Concord
Boys - Girls
2008 - 2009 - 2010
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State Rank #12
New Haven Semi-State Rank #2
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 11th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 4.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 31.3%
Advance to State Finals 97.3%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
40  Daniel Zelaya 11 16:15
63  Brian Willoughby 12 16:26
Andrew Witkowski 12 16:45
Todd Dion 12 16:48
Collin Chupp 10 17:03
Jarred Fair 12 17:11
Alex Rodriguez 11 17:29




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 97.3% 12.5 335 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.0 2.9 3.8 5.2 7.0 8.3 10.2 9.9 8.8 8.0 7.0 5.4 4.9 3.7 2.8 2.3 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.2
Semi-State 100% 3.0 124 17.7 23.3 24.3 17.6 10.6 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.4 40 60.4 37.1 2.3 0.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 35 97.5 2.3 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Daniel Zelaya 98.0% 41.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.5 24.2% 87.4%
Brian Willoughby 97.3% 62.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4% 53.4%
Andrew Witkowski 97.3% 102.5 0.0% 4.9%
Todd Dion 97.3% 110.0 0.0% 2.9%
Collin Chupp 97.3% 136.1 0.0% 0.0%
Jarred Fair 97.3% 150.4 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Rodriguez 97.3% 174.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Daniel Zelaya 100% 7.9 0.2 1.2 2.7 5.7 8.6 11.8 11.4 9.8 9.0 7.0 5.8 4.7 3.8 3.4 2.6 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Brian Willoughby 100% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.5 4.3 5.3 5.7 5.9 5.9 6.1 5.6 5.2 4.4 4.4 4.1 3.6 3.6 3.1 3.3 2.7 2.3 2.3 1.9 99.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Daniel Zelaya 100% 1.4 41.0 23.8 14.6 8.3 5.1 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Brian Willoughby 100% 4.1 3.9 14.1 16.4 14.8 13.7 10.6 7.6 5.5 3.8 3.2 2.2 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Daniel Zelaya 1.0 55.9 25.3 11.4 4.6 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0
Brian Willoughby 2.8 6.3 25.8 23.6 18.4 12.1 7.4 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0