Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2008 - 2009 - 2010
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State Rank #5
Carmel Semi-State Rank #4
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #3
Carmel Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 2.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 68.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 92.8%
Advance to State Finals 95.8%
Advance to Semi-State 96.4%
Advance to Regional 99.9%

RankNameGradeRating
45  Ryan Ferguson 11 16:19
55  Sam Roudebush 10 16:23
56  Collin Ginebaugh 11 16:23
60  Cody Marowski 12 16:25
66  Christian Bowers 11 16:27
72  Phil Neuzerlin 11 16:28
Russ Goodwin 11 17:13
James Willman 12 17:16
Jacob Small 11 17:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 95.8% 4.6 181 2.0 20.8 18.7 15.6 11.3 8.2 6.1 4.6 3.1 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 96.4% 3.4 101 1.8 24.8 30.1 21.7 12.3 5.1 0.5 0.1
Regionals 99.9% 2.4 82 34.5 28.4 17.8 10.5 5.3 2.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.9 57 44.7 32.0 13.9 6.8 2.5 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Ferguson 95.8% 46.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.0% 9.5%
Sam Roudebush 95.8% 54.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.0% 4.5%
Collin Ginebaugh 95.8% 55.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0% 4.0%
Cody Marowski 95.8% 59.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0% 2.5%
Christian Bowers 95.8% 62.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0% 1.8%
Phil Neuzerlin 95.8% 65.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0% 1.3%
Russ Goodwin 95.8% 152.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Ferguson 96.4% 23.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.8 1.8 2.6 2.9 3.8 4.0 4.7 5.3 5.0 5.6 5.5 5.6 5.1 1.7% 55.8%
Sam Roudebush 96.4% 26.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.3 3.0 3.7 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.8 4.9 0.8% 37.1%
Collin Ginebaugh 96.4% 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.6 2.0 2.8 2.7 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.7 5.3 0.6% 36.2%
Cody Marowski 96.4% 29.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.7 3.7 4.1 4.2 0.3% 26.9%
Christian Bowers 96.4% 30.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.6 2.7 3.3 3.7 3.8 0.0% 21.4%
Phil Neuzerlin 96.4% 31.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.3 2.3 3.0 3.3 3.6 0.0% 18.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Ferguson 99.9% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 1.5 3.2 4.0 4.9 6.2 6.8 7.2 7.8 7.0 6.2 5.8 5.3 4.9 4.1 3.9 3.2 2.9 2.3 2.0 1.5 15.4% 89.3%
Sam Roudebush 99.9% 17.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.2 4.5 5.1 5.6 6.1 5.9 6.1 5.8 5.7 5.3 4.7 4.2 3.8 3.5 3.2 3.0 7.7% 78.4%
Collin Ginebaugh 99.9% 17.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.9 2.6 3.4 4.4 4.8 5.7 5.4 6.1 6.2 6.6 5.4 5.4 4.9 4.5 4.4 3.7 3.0 2.8 0.0% 77.6%
Cody Marowski 99.9% 19.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.3 3.0 3.6 3.9 5.0 5.4 5.5 5.9 5.6 5.3 5.6 4.7 4.6 4.7 3.5 3.7 0.0% 68.9%
Christian Bowers 99.9% 20.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.3 3.2 3.4 3.8 4.5 5.2 5.2 6.0 5.3 5.3 5.2 4.9 4.5 4.7 3.9 0.0% 63.3%
Phil Neuzerlin 99.9% 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.2 3.1 3.8 4.2 4.5 4.9 4.5 5.6 5.4 5.5 5.1 4.7 4.3 4.2 0.0% 58.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Ferguson 8.0 0.2 1.5 6.8 9.8 10.6 10.7 10.1 8.6 7.4 6.5 5.6 4.8 3.6 3.2 2.5 1.9 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3
Sam Roudebush 10.5 0.1 0.5 2.7 4.4 6.1 7.3 7.7 8.5 8.4 7.9 7.3 6.6 5.6 5.3 4.2 3.5 2.6 2.6 2.0 1.7 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.7
Collin Ginebaugh 10.6 0.1 0.4 2.7 4.2 6.0 7.6 8.4 8.0 8.5 7.4 7.2 6.3 5.7 5.1 4.3 3.9 3.0 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.7
Cody Marowski 12.1 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.7 3.8 5.2 6.2 7.4 7.8 7.4 7.5 7.1 6.4 6.1 5.6 4.4 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.1 2.5 1.3 1.4 1.0
Christian Bowers 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.7 3.1 4.0 5.4 6.3 7.1 8.0 6.9 7.5 6.4 5.9 6.1 5.0 5.1 3.9 3.3 2.9 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.1
Phil Neuzerlin 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.1 2.4 3.4 4.2 5.3 6.0 7.0 7.1 6.9 7.2 7.1 6.2 5.3 5.4 4.4 4.0 3.4 2.8 2.5 1.9 1.4