Carmel
Boys - Girls
2008 - 2009 - 2010
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State Rank #2
Carmel Semi-State Rank #2
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #1
Carmel Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 1.9%
Top 5 at State Finals 76.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 98.4%
Advance to State Finals 99.3%
Advance to Semi-State 99.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
2  Chris Walden 11 15:24
8  Tom Ohlman 12 15:43
54  Dan Porter 12 16:22
93  Griffin Brunk 12 16:34
142  Eric Kinn 10 16:43
Patrick Appleton 9 16:47
Andy Cowen 12 16:52
Collin Brunk 11 16:52
Steven Gomez 12 16:53
Nick Schrock 11 16:54
Daniel Williams 9 16:59
Jason Shaw 12 17:04
Zach Rutherford 11 17:07




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.3% 4.1 171 1.9 24.6 21.1 16.8 12.2 8.6 5.9 3.9 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 99.4% 2.9 90 2.4 44.3 27.0 17.5 6.3 1.8 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100.0% 2.0 75 41.8 28.2 18.7 8.3 2.4 0.5 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.7 53 44.6 41.1 11.1 2.7 0.5 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Walden 100.0% 2.9 16.2 18.7 16.7 14.7 10.6 7.1 4.3 3.4 2.3 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.1% 100.0%
Tom Ohlman 99.7% 10.2 0.1 1.0 2.2 4.3 5.6 7.3 7.7 7.9 6.7 6.0 5.9 5.3 4.8 4.6 4.0 3.7 3.2 2.7 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.3 1.1 0.9 49.3% 97.2%
Dan Porter 99.3% 54.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.0% 5.9%
Griffin Brunk 99.3% 78.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0% 0.5%
Eric Kinn 99.3% 99.5 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Appleton 99.3% 106.8 0.0% 0.0%
Andy Cowen 99.3% 115.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Walden 100% 1.9 21.7 33.3 25.8 9.4 4.5 2.5 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Tom Ohlman 100.0% 5.5 0.2 2.1 8.3 18.6 14.3 12.1 9.4 7.7 6.6 5.1 4.1 3.1 2.8 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.8% 100.0%
Dan Porter 99.4% 26.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.2 2.4 3.1 3.8 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.5 4.4 4.8 0.0% 41.6%
Griffin Brunk 99.4% 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.7 2.1 0.0% 10.0%
Eric Kinn 99.4% 46.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.0% 1.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Walden 100% 1.4 28.3 59.6 9.2 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Tom Ohlman 100% 3.2 0.3 4.7 39.9 24.1 14.1 8.6 4.3 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Dan Porter 100.0% 16.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.1 3.5 4.5 5.5 5.1 5.5 5.5 5.7 5.4 5.0 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.2 3.8 3.6 3.0 3.1 0.0% 77.9%
Griffin Brunk 100.0% 25.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.4 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.1 0.0% 37.7%
Eric Kinn 100.0% 34.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.7 0.0% 11.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Walden 1.0 91.9 7.5 0.6 0.0 0.0
Tom Ohlman 1.8 1.8 60.6 30.9 4.6 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dan Porter 10.1 0.6 4.4 7.5 8.6 8.0 7.2 6.6 6.3 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.8 5.1 4.3 3.8 3.3 3.0 2.2 1.5 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.6
Griffin Brunk 17.0 0.4 0.9 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.4 5.0 5.4 6.0 6.1 6.3 6.6 6.0 5.8 5.3 4.3 4.1 2.9
Eric Kinn 22.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.9 2.9 3.2 4.2 4.9 5.1 5.9 6.7 6.2 6.6 6.7