Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2008 - 2009 - 2010



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Daniel Zelaya 11 Concord 16:15 #40  
2  Michael Bradley 12 St. Joseph's 16:19 #46  
3  Tyler Wynn 11 Goshen 16:26 #61  
4  Brian Willoughby 12 Concord 16:26 #63  
5  Trevor Moore 11 Northridge 16:27 #67  
6  Miguel Lozano 10 Mishawaka 16:31 #82  
7  Chris LaFree 12 Riley 16:40 #127  
8  Joey Zielinski 10 St. Joseph's 16:41 #131  
9  Jordan Johnson 12 Elkhart Central 16:42 #135  
10  Austin Wenger 12 NorthWood 16:42 #137  
11  Jose Mejia 12 Wawasee 16:43 #140  
12  Nate West 12 Warsaw 16:44 #145  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Concord Elkhart Central 293 #12  
2  St. Joseph's Riley 316 #14  
3  Warsaw Elkhart Central 446 #37  

Other unranked teams:
Northridge Elkhart Central 487
Mishawaka Riley 509



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Concord 100.0% 1.4 40 15 89 60.4 37.1 2.3 0.2 0.0
St. Joseph's 100.0% 1.7 46 15 96 39.0 55.0 5.2 0.7 0.1
Warsaw 100.0% 3.6 83 34 145 0.6 6.4 47.3 28.6 17.2
Northridge 100.0% 4.0 90 42 129 0.0 1.1 29.5 38.7 30.7
Mishawaka 100.0% 4.4 95 47 139 0.0 0.4 15.7 31.8 52.0


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Daniel Zelaya Concord 16:15 100.0% 1.4 41.0 23.8 14.6 8.3 5.1 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Michael Bradley St. Joseph's 16:19 100.0% 2.1 28.1 20.4 16.0 12.1 8.1 5.7 3.5 2.4 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tyler Wynn Goshen 16:26 100.0% 3.8 11.4 13.5 14.3 13.5 11.0 9.1 7.1 5.4 4.1 3.2 2.3 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Brian Willoughby Concord 16:26 100.0% 4.1 3.9 14.1 16.4 14.8 13.7 10.6 7.6 5.5 3.8 3.2 2.2 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Trevor Moore Northridge 16:27 100.0% 4.2 8.4 12.2 13.4 13.4 11.9 9.7 7.9 6.3 4.4 3.5 2.7 1.9 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
Miguel Lozano Mishawaka 16:31 100.0% 5.7 4.3 7.5 8.8 11.0 11.4 10.6 9.5 8.0 6.8 5.3 4.0 3.1 2.5 1.9 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.2
Chris LaFree Riley 16:40 100.0% 9.0 0.9 2.0 3.5 4.8 6.1 7.9 8.2 8.8 7.8 7.4 7.1 6.3 5.8 4.7 4.1 3.7 2.7 2.3 1.8 1.4
Joey Zielinski St. Joseph's 16:41 100.0% 9.2 0.1 1.5 2.8 4.8 5.8 7.4 8.1 8.9 9.0 8.4 8.3 7.1 6.3 5.6 4.6 3.6 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.7
Jordan Johnson Elkhart Central 16:42 99.4% 9.8 0.7 1.5 2.6 4.1 4.9 6.5 7.6 7.5 7.9 7.8 7.1 6.3 6.1 5.5 4.5 4.4 3.5 2.8 2.5 1.9
Austin Wenger NorthWood 16:42 99.6% 10.0 0.5 1.2 2.4 3.5 5.3 6.2 7.0 7.7 8.1 7.8 7.2 6.4 6.5 6.1 4.8 4.2 3.8 2.7 2.5 1.9
Jose Mejia Wawasee 16:43 99.5% 10.3 0.4 1.3 2.0 3.1 4.6 5.9 7.0 7.5 7.9 7.9 7.6 6.6 6.9 5.7 4.7 4.4 4.0 3.3 2.6 1.9
Nate West Warsaw 16:44 100.0% 10.9 0.3 1.0 1.5 2.6 4.2 4.7 6.0 7.2 7.5 7.6 8.0 7.6 6.8 6.5 5.9 5.2 4.7 3.9 3.1 2.2