Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Sectional
2010 - 2011 - 2012



These are rankings of individuals and teams that run in this sectional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Jacob Poyner 11 Warsaw 16:08 #37  
2  Ellis Coon 10 Warsaw 16:43 #132  
3  Blake O'Dell 10 Northridge 16:44 #134  
4  James Bradberry 9 Northridge 16:49 #154  
5  Joel Hartman 11 Elkhart Christian Academy 16:50 #158  
6  Luke Kaufman 11 Goshen 16:53 #176  
RankNameRatingState Rank
1  Warsaw 341 #16  
2  Northridge 495 #43  
3  Goshen 570 #56  

Other unranked teams:
Concord 695   
Fairfield 722   



Sectional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Warsaw 1.0 32 15 81 97.9 2.0 0.2
Northridge 2.2 70 20 126 1.8 75.9 20.3 1.9 0.2
Goshen 3.0 88 37 131 0.3 21.0 61.3 13.8 3.6
Fairfield 4.2 111 62 152 0.8 12.5 53.2 33.5
Concord 4.6 117 67 149 0.3 5.8 31.1 62.8


RunnerSchoolRatingAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Jacob Poyner Warsaw 16:08 1.0 98.0 1.6 0.3 0.1
Ellis Coon Warsaw 16:43 2.9 0.0 32.3 20.0 15.7 12.4 8.0 4.9 3.0 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Blake O'Dell Northridge 16:44 3.2 1.1 26.2 20.1 15.7 10.8 8.9 5.8 4.1 2.7 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
James Bradberry Northridge 16:49 4.7 0.3 8.9 16.7 15.0 12.7 11.5 9.7 7.9 5.4 4.1 2.8 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Joel Hartman Elkhart Christian Academy 16:50 4.9 0.3 13.5 12.4 12.6 12.4 11.2 9.8 8.1 6.2 4.5 3.3 1.8 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Luke Kaufman Goshen 16:53 5.7 0.2 9.1 9.9 10.7 11.8 11.3 10.8 9.0 7.8 6.0 4.3 3.4 2.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1