Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2011 - 2012 - 2013



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Joel Hartman 12 Elkhart Christian Academ 16:03 #25  
2  Blake O'Dell 11 Northridge 16:10 #39  
3  Luke Kaufman 12 Goshen 16:22 #65  
4  James Bradberry 10 Northridge 16:22 #67  
5  Luke Runyan 11 Glenn 16:27 #82  
6  Jordan Annis 12 Mishawaka 16:30 #87  
7  Austin Ganger 12 Mishawaka 16:40 #118  
8  Jacob Frost 11 Northridge 16:40 #121  
9  Andrew Timmons 11 Adams 16:42 #127  
10  Reid Stichter 12 Wawasee 16:43 #133  
11  Jacob Timmons 11 Adams 16:48 #153  
12  Bruce Bragg 12 Riley 16:52 #174  
13  Patrick Wagner 12 Mishawaka 16:53 #178  
14  Dylan Dominello 12 St. Joseph's 16:53 #179  
15  Travis Kulczar 10 Riley 16:54 #184  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Northridge Elkhart Central 303 #14  
2  Goshen Elkhart Central 431 #28  
3  Mishawaka Riley 452 #33  
4  Riley Riley 559 #51  
5  Wawasee Elkhart Central 567 #52  
6  Penn Riley 573 #54  

Other unranked teams:
Elkhart Central Elkhart Central 675
Adams Riley 708
St. Joseph's Riley 714



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Northridge 100.0% 1.1 45 17 123 93.7 5.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
Goshen 100.0% 2.3 80 30 159 5.2 66.4 21.1 5.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
Mishawaka 100.0% 3.1 96 40 173 1.0 20.9 53.6 17.0 6.0 1.4 0.1 0.0
Penn 100.0% 4.9 131 58 219 0.1 2.9 8.4 27.9 28.2 21.8 7.4 2.5 0.7
Riley 100.0% 5.0 132 58 226 0.1 2.0 8.4 24.4 27.7 27.1 7.5 2.2 0.7
Wawasee 100.0% 5.1 134 60 214 0.0 2.2 7.6 22.6 28.4 26.2 8.9 3.2 0.9
Elkhart Central 100.0% 7.4 175 84 258 0.1 0.3 2.6 6.7 13.2 27.0 26.5 23.7
Adams 100.0% 7.7 177 127 226 0.1 0.6 6.3 36.1 41.1 15.9
St. Joseph's 100.0% 8.4 192 110 249 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.5 13.0 24.4 58.2


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Joel Hartman Elkhart Christian Academy 16:03 100.0% 1.0 59.5 22.5 10.2 4.4 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Blake O'Dell Northridge 16:10 100.0% 1.5 29.1 39.5 18.1 7.2 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Luke Kaufman Goshen 16:22 100.0% 3.6 5.5 13.8 19.4 19.2 14.3 10.1 6.8 4.5 2.7 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
James Bradberry Northridge 16:22 100.0% 3.6 1.7 9.8 24.9 21.8 15.9 10.2 6.5 4.1 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Luke Runyan Glenn 16:27 100.0% 4.7 2.4 7.8 11.7 16.7 16.6 13.8 10.3 6.9 5.0 3.4 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jordan Annis Mishawaka 16:30 100.0% 5.3 1.6 5.0 9.4 13.5 16.0 16.2 12.9 9.0 6.6 3.6 2.5 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Austin Ganger Mishawaka 16:40 100.0% 8.2 0.0 0.5 1.5 3.3 6.4 10.2 12.8 13.2 12.4 10.2 8.1 6.7 4.8 3.9 2.5 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.2
Jacob Frost Northridge 16:40 100.0% 8.2 0.0 0.8 4.2 8.1 10.5 12.2 11.9 11.8 10.3 8.6 6.8 5.3 3.8 2.4 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2
Andrew Timmons Adams 16:42 100.0% 8.7 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.9 6.0 8.4 10.8 11.5 11.0 11.0 9.2 7.4 5.7 4.4 2.9 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.4
Reid Stichter Wawasee 16:43 100.0% 9.3 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 5.2 7.3 8.7 10.7 10.1 10.4 9.5 8.1 7.0 5.5 4.7 2.8 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.4
Jacob Timmons Adams 16:48 100.0% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 3.6 5.1 7.1 9.2 10.3 10.8 10.4 9.2 7.6 6.9 4.9 3.4 2.4 1.7 1.4
Bruce Bragg Riley 16:52 100.0% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 2.0 3.1 4.8 6.0 7.7 8.3 9.4 10.0 10.2 9.6 7.4 5.6 4.0 3.0 2.0
Patrick Wagner Mishawaka 16:53 100.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.7 4.3 6.0 7.9 9.2 10.3 10.1 9.9 8.6 7.8 5.7 4.8 3.0 2.3
Dylan Dominello St. Joseph's 16:53 100.0% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 2.1 3.3 4.6 5.9 7.3 8.3 9.3 9.1 9.3 9.3 8.0 6.3 4.5 3.5 2.4
Travis Kulczar Riley 16:54 100.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.3 2.3 3.6 4.6 6.1 7.6 8.7 10.3 10.4 9.8 8.5 6.8 5.4 3.6 2.8