Lawrence North
Boys - Girls
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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State Rank #3
Carmel Semi-State Rank #2
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #2
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 3rd place at State Finals
State Champion 1.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 56.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 87.1%
Advance to State Finals 89.7%
Advance to Semi-State 89.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
24  Ethan Hoeft 11 15:59
26  Joe Murphy 12 16:00
28  Jake Hanawalt 12 16:00
99  Robel Teklezghi 12 16:35
Tim Jerger 11 16:57
Joshua Grese 12 17:17
Matt Hoskins 10 17:27
Wyatt Spencer 11 17:29
Erik Perkins 11 17:37
Aaron Bowers 12 17:41
Micah Dean 12 17:47
Almustapha Sylvester 11 17:49
Kyle Harris 9 18:02
Will Reid 9 18:17
Ian Mitchell 11 18:18
James Hogston 10 18:23
Alex Cardoso 9 18:26
Will Majercak 9 18:44
DateRace Rating
08/24 Carmel Classic 5k
09/07 Harrison Invitational 231
09/14 Ben Davis Invitational 321
09/21 Flashrock Invitational 232
09/28 Southport Invitational 459
10/01 Lawrence North Reserve Invite 627
10/09 Metropolitan Athletic Conference 272
10/12 North Central Reserve Invitational
10/15 Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional 229
10/19 Brebeuf Jesuit Regional 202
10/26 Carmel Semi-State 153
11/02 State Finals 267




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 89.7% 5.1 200 1.2 6.4 19.2 16.2 13.6 10.4 7.4 5.9 4.0 2.8 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 89.9% 3.0 109 2.3 35.2 24.9 16.1 9.7 1.5 0.2
Regionals 100% 3.2 103 4.5 38.2 23.7 14.3 9.1 5.5 3.2 1.3 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.8 49 46.8 29.1 18.1 6.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hoeft 97.0% 24.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.7 2.1 2.1 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.7 2.9 2.6 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.6 71.1% 94.3%
Joe Murphy 96.7% 25.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.8 3.0 2.7 2.9 68.1% 93.7%
Jake Hanawalt 96.2% 25.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.4 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.4 63.0% 92.5%
Robel Teklezghi 89.7% 84.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 7.9%
Tim Jerger 89.7% 130.8 0.0% 0.1%
Joshua Grese 89.7% 165.9 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Hoskins 89.7% 178.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hoeft 99.9% 11.3 0.7 1.6 2.4 3.3 3.9 4.8 5.6 5.8 6.8 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.4 5.5 4.8 4.5 3.8 3.7 2.9 2.6 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.1 1.0 98.9% 99.9%
Joe Murphy 99.8% 11.5 0.6 1.5 2.3 2.8 3.8 4.6 5.2 6.2 6.8 6.9 6.1 6.4 6.1 6.1 5.2 4.3 4.3 3.3 3.3 2.4 2.3 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.0 98.3% 99.8%
Jake Hanawalt 99.9% 11.9 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.8 3.3 4.4 5.1 5.5 5.8 6.6 7.1 6.4 6.6 5.7 5.3 4.8 4.4 3.5 3.0 2.7 2.5 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.0 98.5% 99.8%
Robel Teklezghi 90.1% 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.8% 49.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hoeft 100% 9.2 1.1 2.5 3.7 4.8 6.2 6.8 7.6 7.9 7.7 8.1 7.0 6.8 5.5 4.9 4.1 3.4 2.7 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Joe Murphy 100% 9.4 0.8 2.2 3.8 4.9 6.1 6.3 7.3 7.5 8.1 7.6 7.1 6.7 5.5 5.1 4.3 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.4 100.0%
Jake Hanawalt 100% 9.7 0.7 1.8 3.5 4.6 5.3 6.6 7.3 7.7 7.3 7.6 7.0 6.6 6.0 5.1 4.2 3.8 3.2 2.7 2.1 2.0 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.4 100.0%
Robel Teklezghi 100% 29.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.5 2.6 3.3 3.9 4.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hoeft 4.5 2.2 9.4 13.5 16.0 16.3 14.7 12.2 7.4 4.2 2.3 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Joe Murphy 4.7 2.4 8.7 12.3 14.7 16.7 15.4 12.7 8.1 4.6 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jake Hanawalt 4.9 1.6 7.6 11.9 14.1 16.0 15.4 13.9 8.6 5.3 3.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Robel Teklezghi 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.7 3.7 6.3 8.6 11.7 15.0 14.5 14.2 8.0 6.0 4.4 2.5 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0