North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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State Rank #8
Carmel Semi-State Rank #4
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #4
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 7th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 22.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 62.8%
Advance to State Finals 69.5%
Advance to Semi-State 70.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
16  James Huffman 12 15:54
27  Solomon Rice 11 16:00
76  Jordan Koczenasz 11 16:27
103  Conor Smith 11 16:36
Elliot Toumey 12 17:11
Adam McGoff 9 17:44
Michael Schmahl 12 17:54
Adam Faler 9 17:59
Jacob Logan 9 18:04
DateRace Rating
08/24 Carmel Classic 5k
09/07 Artesian Classic 269
09/14 Eagle Classic 307
09/21 Flashrock Invitational 229
09/28 Culver Invitational (Elite) 406
10/09 Metropolitan Athletic Conference 277
10/15 Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional 262
10/19 Brebeuf Jesuit Regional 209
10/26 Carmel Semi-State 223
11/02 State Finals 232




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 69.5% 6.9 234 0.1 0.9 5.2 7.3 8.5 9.8 10.2 8.9 6.7 5.2 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 70.0% 3.9 129 0.3 10.1 15.1 19.6 19.8 4.5 0.6 0.0
Regionals 100% 4.5 124 0.8 12.5 17.4 20.3 19.0 15.5 9.4 4.4 0.7
Sectionals 100% 2.6 58 17.4 25.4 39.8 17.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
James Huffman 98.7% 18.1 0.7 1.2 1.8 1.8 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.6 3.3 3.8 3.2 3.3 3.1 3.4 3.2 2.9 3.0 2.7 3.3 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.6 95.7% 98.6%
Solomon Rice 95.4% 25.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.7 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.7 2.6 85.1% 94.6%
Jordan Koczenasz 70.0% 65.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.8% 21.8%
Conor Smith 69.5% 83.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 5.7%
Elliot Toumey 69.5% 151.4 0.0% 0.0%
Adam McGoff 69.5% 190.5 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Schmahl 69.5% 196.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
James Huffman 100% 8.3 2.0 4.3 6.0 6.5 7.1 7.6 7.1 7.6 7.0 6.8 6.1 5.6 4.6 3.9 3.8 2.8 2.3 2.1 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Solomon Rice 99.9% 11.7 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.9 3.7 5.1 5.2 5.9 6.1 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.1 6.0 5.8 4.8 4.2 3.3 3.0 2.4 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.1 99.8% 99.9%
Jordan Koczenasz 83.6% 30.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.5 3.3 45.2% 75.5%
Conor Smith 72.5% 39.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 8.2% 44.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
James Huffman 100% 6.6 2.8 7.0 8.4 9.5 8.9 8.9 8.0 8.0 6.8 6.4 5.5 4.8 3.5 2.9 2.5 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Solomon Rice 100% 9.6 0.7 2.0 3.7 4.8 5.9 6.2 7.1 7.9 7.6 7.2 6.9 6.4 6.0 5.3 4.2 3.9 3.2 2.4 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Jordan Koczenasz 100% 24.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.9 3.3 3.8 4.0 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.9 6.4 100.0%
Conor Smith 100% 30.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.8 2.4 2.8 3.1 4.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
James Huffman 3.0 7.2 22.6 19.6 14.0 11.1 10.5 7.5 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Solomon Rice 4.8 1.5 7.7 15.0 16.2 12.0 12.6 14.9 9.5 5.5 3.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Jordan Koczenasz 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.8 5.4 9.3 13.1 15.0 15.8 13.9 10.3 5.9 3.2 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Conor Smith 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.0 4.0 7.4 10.5 14.3 16.2 15.3 9.3 6.5 5.5 3.2 2.5 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1