Boys -
Girls
New Haven Semi-State
2012
-
2013 -
2014
These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a
projection of this round of the tournament.
Semi-State Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
School | Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score | Min Score | Max Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
---|
Carroll (FW) |
100.0% |
1.3 |
66 |
22 |
198 |
76.0 |
20.5 |
3.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Northridge |
100.0% |
2.1 |
92 |
31 |
228 |
21.4 |
58.6 |
15.1 |
3.3 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bishop Dwenger |
99.9% |
3.6 |
136 |
44 |
289 |
2.1 |
14.4 |
43.4 |
20.0 |
9.4 |
5.1 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Homestead |
99.4% |
4.9 |
162 |
60 |
291 |
0.4 |
4.4 |
19.8 |
28.1 |
17.9 |
11.3 |
6.9 |
4.5 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
South Adams |
100.0% |
6.1 |
186 |
84 |
323 |
|
0.6 |
5.9 |
15.7 |
21.6 |
19.6 |
15.3 |
9.4 |
5.8 |
3.4 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Riley |
99.3% |
7.2 |
204 |
63 |
363 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
4.5 |
10.3 |
13.6 |
14.5 |
12.9 |
12.0 |
9.8 |
8.4 |
6.3 |
3.8 |
2.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Concordia Lutheran |
93.3% |
7.7 |
211 |
78 |
320 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
2.3 |
6.1 |
9.5 |
12.5 |
14.4 |
13.8 |
12.2 |
9.3 |
7.1 |
4.0 |
1.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
West Noble |
86.1% |
8.4 |
223 |
100 |
338 |
|
0.1 |
1.3 |
3.6 |
6.4 |
8.4 |
11.0 |
12.5 |
12.5 |
11.6 |
9.2 |
6.4 |
3.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Penn |
97.8% |
8.4 |
224 |
89 |
397 |
|
0.2 |
2.1 |
5.7 |
8.7 |
9.5 |
11.6 |
11.9 |
11.9 |
11.5 |
10.1 |
8.3 |
5.4 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
Huntington North |
100.0% |
8.5 |
226 |
74 |
395 |
|
0.2 |
2.2 |
5.2 |
7.8 |
10.3 |
11.3 |
12.3 |
12.4 |
11.5 |
10.7 |
8.5 |
6.3 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Goshen |
94.2% |
10.0 |
250 |
129 |
388 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
4.2 |
6.6 |
9.4 |
11.7 |
14.3 |
16.3 |
15.5 |
11.1 |
1.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Snider |
9.9% |
10.0 |
251 |
135 |
356 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Wawasee |
92.4% |
10.8 |
262 |
127 |
381 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
3.6 |
6.1 |
9.7 |
12.9 |
16.1 |
19.6 |
18.0 |
2.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
DeKalb |
11.0% |
10.8 |
263 |
181 |
369 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
0.2 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) |
100.0% |
11.4 |
276 |
130 |
416 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
5.0 |
7.3 |
10.5 |
14.8 |
21.4 |
27.6 |
5.8 |
1.6 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
Lakeland |
0.2% |
12.0 |
286 |
230 |
335 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
East Noble |
0.0% |
12.0 |
291 |
288 |
293 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fort Wayne North Side |
0.3% |
12.4 |
293 |
274 |
327 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
St. Joseph's |
3.2% |
12.4 |
300 |
220 |
386 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
Glenn |
7.8% |
12.5 |
301 |
235 |
388 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Adams |
1.3% |
12.8 |
308 |
282 |
346 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mishawaka |
1.5% |
12.9 |
314 |
201 |
408 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Fairfield |
1.4% |
13.0 |
314 |
259 |
375 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
NorthWood |
1.1% |
13.1 |
318 |
237 |
399 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Elkhart Central |
0.1% |
13.4 |
337 |
289 |
374 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
Pendleton Heights |
100.0% |
14.9 |
367 |
214 |
500 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.9 |
6.3 |
34.3 |
24.6 |
17.6 |
14.6 |
|
|
|
Norwell |
80.9% |
15.3 |
378 |
249 |
475 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
17.3 |
24.5 |
22.6 |
13.5 |
|
|
|
Oak Hill |
81.9% |
15.6 |
388 |
215 |
493 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
2.3 |
13.9 |
17.6 |
21.6 |
25.5 |
|
|
|
Northfield |
53.4% |
15.7 |
390 |
265 |
484 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
7.6 |
13.5 |
16.0 |
15.6 |
|
|
|
Bellmont |
83.8% |
15.8 |
392 |
252 |
500 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.9 |
12.4 |
16.8 |
21.6 |
30.6 |
|
|
|
Runner | School | Rating | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
Zach Panning |
Concordia Lutheran |
15:27 |
100.0% |
1.0 |
88.9 |
8.1 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mark Beckmann |
DeKalb |
15:51 |
100.0% |
2.3 |
5.8 |
38.2 |
20.1 |
12.6 |
8.6 |
5.8 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
Cameron Clements |
Carroll (FW) |
15:57 |
100.0% |
3.6 |
2.1 |
16.7 |
20.2 |
17.0 |
13.4 |
9.6 |
7.6 |
5.0 |
3.5 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
Blake O'Dell |
Northridge |
15:59 |
100.0% |
4.0 |
1.7 |
15.4 |
18.2 |
14.9 |
12.4 |
10.8 |
8.5 |
6.7 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Brandon Arnold |
West Noble |
16:04 |
100.0% |
5.5 |
0.6 |
7.7 |
10.6 |
12.5 |
12.1 |
11.8 |
11.4 |
9.0 |
7.7 |
5.6 |
3.9 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Jacob Timmons |
Adams |
16:06 |
100.0% |
6.3 |
0.2 |
4.5 |
8.0 |
9.9 |
11.8 |
12.1 |
12.4 |
11.1 |
9.2 |
6.9 |
4.9 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Jacob Schmeling |
Carroll (FW) |
16:07 |
100.0% |
6.5 |
0.1 |
2.2 |
6.6 |
10.4 |
12.5 |
11.9 |
11.8 |
11.2 |
10.2 |
7.3 |
5.0 |
3.9 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Brayden Law |
Homestead |
16:07 |
100.0% |
6.6 |
0.3 |
4.5 |
7.6 |
9.5 |
10.2 |
11.5 |
11.1 |
10.7 |
9.6 |
7.1 |
5.6 |
4.1 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
Andrew Timmons |
Adams |
16:10 |
100.0% |
7.7 |
0.1 |
1.7 |
3.8 |
6.3 |
8.2 |
10.4 |
11.2 |
12.0 |
11.4 |
9.6 |
6.7 |
5.3 |
4.0 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
Josh Neideck |
Eastbrook |
16:18 |
100.0% |
10.3 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
6.2 |
8.3 |
9.7 |
10.8 |
9.9 |
9.0 |
7.3 |
6.3 |
4.9 |
4.1 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
Sawyer Miller |
South Adams |
16:18 |
100.0% |
10.3 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
5.0 |
6.4 |
7.6 |
9.1 |
11.1 |
10.9 |
10.0 |
7.3 |
5.9 |
4.4 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Bailey McIntire |
South Adams |
16:24 |
100.0% |
12.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
5.5 |
7.2 |
9.6 |
10.3 |
9.5 |
8.5 |
6.9 |
6.0 |
4.8 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
Travis Kulczar |
Riley |
16:27 |
100.0% |
14.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
4.2 |
6.1 |
7.4 |
8.2 |
8.1 |
8.5 |
7.5 |
6.3 |
6.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
Conner Sandt |
Northridge |
16:30 |
100.0% |
15.4 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
4.2 |
5.6 |
6.7 |
7.7 |
7.8 |
7.9 |
6.9 |
6.6 |
5.8 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
Greg Tippmann |
Bishop Dwenger |
16:31 |
100.0% |
16.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
5.2 |
6.3 |
6.8 |
7.4 |
7.3 |
7.1 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
5.6 |
4.8 |
Neel Patel |
Northridge |
16:32 |
100.0% |
16.3 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
7.0 |
7.4 |
7.2 |
7.5 |
6.8 |
6.6 |
5.8 |
4.6 |
Evan Harney |
Columbia City |
16:32 |
100.0% |
16.8 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
3.3 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
6.8 |
6.8 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
5.5 |
4.8 |
Trevor Hamilton |
Carroll (FW) |
16:32 |
100.0% |
16.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.6 |
7.4 |
7.4 |
7.6 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
5.5 |
4.9 |
Brent Bales |
Norwell |
16:40 |
100.0% |
21.8 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
4.9 |
Adam Doll |
Wawasee |
16:40 |
100.0% |
21.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
Charlie Mettler |
Huntington North |
16:41 |
100.0% |
22.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
5.0 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
Matt Klein |
Bishop Dwenger |
16:42 |
100.0% |
23.3 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
Bret Unger |
Carroll (FW) |
16:44 |
100.0% |
24.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
Tyler Adgalanis |
Bishop Dwenger |
16:46 |
100.0% |
26.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
Kris Wickens |
Bremen |
16:46 |
99.9% |
26.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
Valentin Emmanuel |
Fort Wayne North Side |
16:48 |
99.5% |
28.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
Christian Noble |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) |
16:48 |
100.0% |
28.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
Gerardo Abad |
Goshen |
16:48 |
99.8% |
28.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
Joe Vandiver |
East Noble |
16:51 |
98.6% |
32.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
Alec Kreilach |
Carroll (FW) |
16:52 |
100.0% |
33.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
James Bradberry |
Northridge |
16:52 |
100.0% |
33.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
Luke Runyan |
Glenn |
16:52 |
99.6% |
34.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
Sam Moore |
Homestead |
16:53 |
99.7% |
34.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
Brody Shane |
South Adams |
16:53 |
100.0% |
34.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
Zach Cockrill |
Wawasee |
16:54 |
99.2% |
34.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.7 |