Hamilton Southeastern
Boys - Girls
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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State Rank #10
Carmel Semi-State Rank #4
Noblesville Regional Rank #3
Noblesville Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 1.9%
Top 5 at State Finals 23.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 67.7%
Advance to State Finals 84.6%
Advance to Semi-State 86.5%
Advance to Regional 99.9%

RankNameGradeRating
54  Matt Sraders 12 16:18
69  Gabe Fendel 9 16:26
86  Bryce Barnett 11 16:31
93  Jordan Wright 12 16:33
105  Brayden Watson 10 16:37
110  Kyle Sams 12 16:38
137  Ben Wagoner 10 16:44
218  Bryce Miller 12 16:57
273  John Burkert 12 17:08
286  Ian Leatherman 11 17:10
Alex Moriarty 10 17:15
Brendan Huckabee 10 17:20
Josh LeCount 11 17:30
Eric Steinmetz 10 17:35
Nathanael Cho 9 18:06
Joe Bergin 9 18:09
DateRace Rating
09/02 Hamilton County Meet 185
09/13 Wildcat Classic 221
09/20 Flashrock Invitational (Champ) 234
09/20 Flashrock Invitational (JV) 496
09/27 New Haven Classic (AAA) 505
10/04 Hoosier Crossroads Conference 214
10/11 Noblesville Sectional 291
10/18 Noblesville Regional 271
10/25 Carmel Semi-State 280
11/01 State Finals 249




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 84.6% 7.6 236 1.9 3.7 4.8 5.6 7.3 7.8 9.4 8.6 9.8 8.9 7.4 5.3 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 86.5% 3.5 123 7.1 18.4 20.9 17.2 12.8 8.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Regionals 99.9% 3.6 107 7.3 20.1 26.9 19.1 13.1 8.5 3.9 0.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.4 65 12.4 48.0 23.8 14.8 1.0 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Sraders 87.0% 51.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 15.3% 47.8%
Gabe Fendel 85.0% 67.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.3% 22.1%
Bryce Barnett 84.7% 77.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3% 12.1%
Jordan Wright 84.7% 83.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1% 9.0%
Brayden Watson 84.7% 92.3 0.0 0.0 0.1% 4.8%
Kyle Sams 84.6% 94.5 0.0 0.0 0.1% 3.9%
Ben Wagoner 84.6% 109.0 0.0% 1.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Sraders 99.4% 21.4 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.6 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.6 4.3 4.4 4.0 4.1 3.9 95.8% 99.2%
Gabe Fendel 96.3% 29.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.6 72.7% 93.4%
Bryce Barnett 93.0% 34.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.9 47.7% 85.5%
Jordan Wright 91.6% 36.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.3 2.0 1.7 37.3% 80.2%
Brayden Watson 89.3% 41.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 20.5% 69.5%
Kyle Sams 88.9% 43.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 17.3% 66.8%
Ben Wagoner 87.1% 51.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 4.5% 47.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Sraders 100% 14.1 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.6 3.0 3.7 4.4 5.3 6.1 6.6 6.7 7.0 7.2 6.7 6.5 5.6 4.8 4.1 3.5 2.9 2.2 1.6 1.6 100.0% 100.0%
Gabe Fendel 100% 19.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.5 3.2 3.7 4.0 5.1 6.0 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.2 5.8 5.1 4.8 4.4 3.7 100.0% 100.0%
Bryce Barnett 100% 22.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.5 3.3 3.5 4.2 4.9 5.4 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.9 5.4 4.7 100.0% 100.0%
Jordan Wright 100% 24.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.9 2.2 2.6 3.3 3.9 4.7 4.9 5.1 5.4 4.9 5.1 5.1 100.0% 100.0%
Brayden Watson 100% 27.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.8 3.7 4.4 4.7 4.8 100.0% 100.0%
Kyle Sams 100% 28.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.4 3.1 3.1 3.8 4.5 4.7 4.9 100.0% 100.0%
Ben Wagoner 100% 33.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.8 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Sraders 7.0 3.7 5.2 7.6 9.8 11.3 12.2 11.0 9.2 7.0 5.6 4.6 3.6 2.6 2.0 1.4 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Gabe Fendel 10.7 0.4 1.2 2.1 3.4 4.8 6.2 8.5 8.5 9.0 8.5 8.1 6.7 6.0 5.3 4.7 3.7 3.2 2.6 1.9 1.7 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.4
Bryce Barnett 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.0 3.3 4.4 6.0 6.8 6.9 7.6 7.4 6.9 6.9 6.4 5.6 4.9 4.7 4.0 3.2 2.6 2.1 2.0 1.2
Jordan Wright 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.2 3.2 4.6 5.2 6.2 6.4 6.7 6.9 7.2 6.3 6.0 6.2 5.5 4.5 4.5 3.8 3.2 2.6 1.9
Brayden Watson 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.1 3.0 3.8 4.5 5.3 5.6 5.9 6.6 6.7 6.3 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 4.6 4.0 3.8
Kyle Sams 18.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.2 3.8 4.7 5.5 5.6 6.4 6.4 7.3 6.2 6.0 6.1 5.8 5.6 4.8 3.8
Ben Wagoner 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.7 1.9 2.5 3.2 3.3 4.6 4.9 5.8 6.4 6.5 7.4 6.9 6.8 6.9