Concord
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #97
New Haven Semi-State Rank #27
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #7
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 13.1%
Advance to Regional 81.5%

RankNameGradeRating
509  Salvador Escamilla 11 17:35
728  David Arvidson 10 17:53
Luke Shoemaker 9 17:56
Jonathan Gomez 11 18:06
Lui Ortiz 10 18:09
Tyler Schwartz 11 18:22
Brandon Alley 11 18:51
Nikolas Schraw 10 19:04
DateRace Rating
08/29 Northwood Invitational
09/05 Marion Invitational
09/12 Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash 665
09/19 New Prairie Invitational
09/26 New Haven Classic
10/03 Northern Lakes Conference
10/10 Elkhart Central Sectional 698
10/17 Elkhart Central Regional




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 13.1% 15.6 398 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.4 1.8 0.4 0.1
Regionals 81.5% 6.9 172 0.0 0.1 4.1 8.9 14.9 26.6 18.2 8.0 0.7
Sectionals 100% 4.3 120 0.1 9.7 17.7 30.9 23.1 12.4 6.0 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Salvador Escamilla 74.7% 94.2 70.9% 74.4%
David Arvidson 22.4% 113.0 10.6% 14.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Salvador Escamilla 100% 25.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.1 2.8 3.5 3.4 4.0 4.3 4.8 5.4 5.0 5.2 100.0% 100.0%
David Arvidson 99.1% 39.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 95.3% 98.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Salvador Escamilla 11.9 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.1 5.7 9.7 10.8 10.2 9.0 7.6 6.9 6.3 5.3 4.4 4.1 3.4 3.2 2.1 1.7 1.3 1.2 0.7
David Arvidson 21.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.6 3.8 4.7 5.4 5.2 6.1 6.0 6.2 6.5 5.8 5.9