Avon
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #8
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #5
Ben Davis Regional Rank #1
South Putnam Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 7th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 19.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 65.5%
Advance to State Finals 89.5%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Hendricks County Championships Avon Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference South Putnam Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 256 232 287 252 209 217 278 570 276 300 247
Team Adjusted Rating 232 287 252 209 217 278 256 276 300 247
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Hendricks County Championships Avon Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference South Putnam Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
32  Rhys Grealish 12 16:11 16:21 16:26 16:05 15:51 16:12 16:07 16:15 16:16 16:08
57  Nyc Sigmon 11 16:22 16:28 16:35 16:23 16:11 16:26 16:33 16:44 16:36 16:15
73  Jacob Woodrow 12 16:27 16:24 16:34 16:19 16:16 16:29 16:33 16:32 16:28 16:24
154  Keith Abramson 11 16:48 16:20 16:57 16:53 16:47 16:29 16:39 16:56 17:13 16:51
188  Madison King 12 16:56 17:23 16:42 17:00 16:45 16:27 18:14 16:35 16:54 17:16
215  Hunter Wakefield 11 17:01 17:33 17:32 17:58 17:52 17:11 17:33 17:24 17:07 17:22 16:54
262  Eli Goddard 12 17:10 17:10 17:03 17:00 16:51 17:07 17:18 17:38
278  Ben Schmitt 10 17:12 16:45 17:18 17:16 17:17 17:08 17:10 17:04 17:15 17:10 17:47
316  Ethan Goddard 10 17:17 16:51 17:14 17:18 17:19 17:29
389  Jazz Briggs 12 17:25 17:17 17:06 17:02 17:33 17:40 17:35
503  Nick Gill 12 17:38 17:35 17:39 17:45 17:10 17:34 17:56 17:38
712  Justin Loh 9 17:55 18:11 18:04 17:54 17:44
808  Peter Simmon 11 18:03 19:02 17:41 17:47 18:14 18:00
816  Mitchell Demerly 12 18:04 18:03 18:08 18:19 18:39 17:55 18:06 17:40
883  Ethan Maharas 9 18:09 18:25 18:04 18:04 18:04 18:16
1,019  Nathaniel Beeler 9 18:19 18:34 18:36 18:45 18:32 17:56 17:58
1,207  William Sims 10 18:32 18:32 18:33 18:41 18:31 18:23 18:36
1,215  August Parent 10 18:32 18:35 18:34 18:42 18:26
1,223  Zach Fredbloom 12 18:33 18:16 18:28 18:47 18:37 18:33
1,260  Scout Bogan 10 18:35 18:36 18:38 18:41 18:36 18:28 18:39
1,328  Jake Shepherd 9 18:40 18:18 18:33 19:23 18:29 18:50
1,439  Awet Hailu 9 18:50 18:59 18:49 20:13 18:35 18:38
1,455  Jack Myers 10 18:51 19:27 18:38
1,466  Zach Kleyn 12 18:52 19:07 18:56 18:57 18:39
Tim Wilson 11 19:01 18:58 19:04
Bartosz Stoppel 10 19:15 19:04 19:38 19:21 19:24 18:51
Owen Fink 11 19:21 19:03 19:35 19:21
Carson Botner 12 19:36 18:47 19:17 20:41 19:46




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 89.5% 8.5 271 0.2 1.3 3.7 6.5 7.6 9.6 9.9 9.8 8.9 8.1 6.8 5.1 4.0 3.2 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 4.7 148 1.2 6.8 14.5 22.6 24.5 20.1 9.6 0.9 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.2 38 84.3 15.7 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 28 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rhys Grealish 95.7% 34.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.1 1.8 2.3 1.9 2.0 58.6% 89.6%
Nyc Sigmon 90.6% 57.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.6 10.3% 58.9%
Jacob Woodrow 89.9% 68.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 3.5% 43.1%
Keith Abramson 89.5% 117.5 0.0 0.0% 2.8%
Madison King 89.5% 132.2 0.0% 0.5%
Hunter Wakefield 89.5% 141.9 0.0% 0.1%
Eli Goddard 89.5% 154.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rhys Grealish 100% 12.4 0.1 1.4 2.3 4.1 5.2 5.6 5.8 5.7 5.9 6.1 5.9 5.0 5.0 4.6 3.8 3.8 3.5 3.0 2.9 2.4 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.7 100.0%
Nyc Sigmon 100% 22.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.3 2.0 2.0 2.7 2.6 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.6 3.3 3.5 3.3 100.0%
Jacob Woodrow 100% 28.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.7 2.3 2.6 2.9 2.8 3.1 3.0 2.8 3.4 3.2 100.0%
Keith Abramson 100% 56.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 100.0%
Madison King 100% 65.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Hunter Wakefield 100% 71.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Eli Goddard 100% 81.0 0.0 99.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rhys Grealish 100% 1.0 49.8 20.6 11.7 7.1 4.5 2.7 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Nyc Sigmon 100% 3.9 4.5 17.0 16.2 13.1 12.5 10.7 8.0 6.2 4.7 3.2 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jacob Woodrow 100% 5.5 1.1 7.1 12.1 12.0 12.1 11.5 10.7 9.3 7.6 6.0 4.5 3.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Keith Abramson 100% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.6 4.3 6.1 7.5 9.7 11.9 12.3 12.5 9.7 7.1 5.7 3.1 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Madison King 100% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.9 3.2 4.2 6.5 9.1 10.8 12.3 12.3 10.1 8.2 6.3 4.9 3.1 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.6 100.0%
Hunter Wakefield 100% 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.9 3.0 4.3 6.8 8.5 11.3 12.2 11.4 10.8 8.4 5.9 4.3 3.1 2.2 1.3 100.0%
Eli Goddard 100% 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 2.0 3.0 5.0 7.6 9.1 10.4 11.2 10.5 9.0 7.8 6.1 4.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rhys Grealish 1.0 57.6 24.2 10.2 4.6 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.0
Nyc Sigmon 2.9 5.7 22.8 23.8 18.6 12.7 8.5 5.1 2.7 0.2 0.0
Jacob Woodrow 4.0 1.5 10.0 18.6 19.9 18.2 14.2 9.3 7.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
Keith Abramson 8.3 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.3 7.1 12.7 15.8 35.7 15.2 5.8 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Madison King 9.5 0.1 0.7 1.8 4.4 7.9 17.5 32.5 20.0 8.5 3.7 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
Hunter Wakefield 10.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.3 7.3 17.9 32.1 18.8 9.7 4.8 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Eli Goddard 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 4.1 11.2 29.5 20.0 13.5 8.7 5.0 2.8 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0