Barr-Reeve
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #44
Brown County Semi-State Rank #9
Pike Central Regional Rank #1
South Knox Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 22.5%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Blue Chip Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 511 516 576 502 501 460 526 438 500 482 639
Team Adjusted Rating 516 576 502 501 460 526 438 500 482 639
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Blue Chip Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
103  Justin Goodwin 11 16:36 16:33 16:21 16:44 16:37 16:29 17:09 16:41 16:31 16:23 16:41
342  Kalen Ochs 12 17:19 17:24 17:38 17:23 17:13 17:01 17:13 17:04 17:36 17:15 17:47
390  Jordan Kaiser 11 17:26 17:33 21:18 17:19 17:35 17:23 17:11 17:08 17:19 17:18 17:51
405  Hawk Royer 12 17:27 17:20 17:40 17:24 17:34 17:06 17:36 17:09 17:19 17:30 17:48
460  Connor Heller 9 17:33 17:35 17:39 17:28 17:15 17:43 17:30 17:27 17:28 17:32 17:58
764  Bryce Murphy 9 18:00 18:06 17:48 18:02 18:05 18:22 18:14 17:56 18:08 18:10 17:52
968  Mitchell Kavanaugh 9 18:16 18:17 18:03 18:15 18:13 18:27 18:27 17:59 18:34 18:11 18:13
Kaden Boyd 9 19:15 19:15 19:31 18:41 19:17 19:16 19:22




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 22.5% 22.9 542 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.4 3.0 5.8 10.6
Semi-State 100.0% 8.2 246 0.1 0.2 1.0 3.8 7.1 10.3 15.1 18.0 20.4 11.0 5.8 3.1 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.3 69 76.1 18.2 5.3 0.4 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.1 34 89.0 11.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Goodwin 51.7% 81.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 37.7% 47.3%
Kalen Ochs 22.5% 155.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jordan Kaiser 22.5% 164.4 0.0% 0.0%
Hawk Royer 22.5% 165.7 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Heller 22.5% 174.7 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Murphy 22.5% 195.9 0.0% 0.0%
Mitchell Kavanaugh 22.5% 203.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Goodwin 100% 19.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.0 4.0 4.4 3.9 4.6 5.0 4.7 5.0 5.1 4.6 4.4 4.1 4.0 3.8 100.0% 100.0%
Kalen Ochs 100.0% 69.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 94.2%
Jordan Kaiser 100% 79.8 100.0% 85.9%
Hawk Royer 100.0% 81.8 0.0 0.0 0.0% 84.2%
Connor Heller 100.0% 93.6 0.0% 68.4%
Bryce Murphy 100.0% 130.8 0.0% 6.2%
Mitchell Kavanaugh 100.0% 146.4 0.0% 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Goodwin 100% 3.8 0.1 1.5 28.3 26.2 20.8 14.2 5.2 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kalen Ochs 100% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.3 3.4 4.7 6.5 7.7 7.7 8.5 8.5 8.7 7.8 7.3 5.7 5.1 4.0 3.3 2.3 1.7 1.1 100.0%
Jordan Kaiser 100% 17.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.0 2.8 3.8 4.7 5.9 6.9 7.2 7.8 8.0 7.7 7.5 6.8 5.9 4.8 4.0 3.3 100.0%
Hawk Royer 100% 18.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.0 4.4 5.3 5.8 6.8 7.2 7.9 8.1 8.0 6.9 6.6 5.5 4.7 3.6 100.0%
Connor Heller 100% 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.6 3.1 4.5 5.7 6.3 6.7 7.5 8.6 7.6 7.7 6.6 100.0%
Bryce Murphy 100% 34.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.2 100.0%
Mitchell Kavanaugh 100% 41.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Goodwin 1.0 64.5 31.9 3.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Kalen Ochs 5.5 0.6 8.8 16.9 14.9 16.4 12.9 10.9 8.5 5.0 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
Jordan Kaiser 7.4 0.1 2.5 6.4 9.4 12.8 13.8 13.9 13.6 11.4 8.4 5.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
Hawk Royer 7.8 0.1 1.5 5.0 7.7 11.4 12.9 14.3 14.2 12.9 11.0 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0
Connor Heller 9.8 0.3 1.1 2.4 4.1 7.3 9.3 13.4 15.2 16.7 18.5 8.5 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
Bryce Murphy 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 4.2 14.3 24.5 24.2 18.5 6.9 2.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mitchell Kavanaugh 16.8 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.9 8.4 16.6 25.0 17.2 11.7 7.7 4.8 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.2