Bellmont
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #57
New Haven Semi-State Rank #13
Marion Regional Rank #2
Bellmont Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference Meet Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 9/3 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 628 725 609 723 626 626 563 554
Team Adjusted Rating 725 609 723 626 626 563 554
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference Meet Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
289  Justin Gephart 11 17:13 17:33 17:17 17:34 17:12 17:10 16:57 17:00
336  Kyle Lawson 9 17:19 17:29 17:21 17:37 17:19 17:20 17:08 17:07
409  Carson Ross 12 17:27 17:47 17:30 17:52 17:21 17:24 17:15 17:19
705  Jacob Corral 12 17:55 18:07 17:39 18:01 18:04 17:49 17:58 17:49
782  Nevin Ryan 10 18:02 18:11 18:06 18:06 18:11 18:10 18:00 17:45
828  Austin Heckert 12 18:05 18:11 18:19 18:06 18:03 18:11 17:49 17:59
906  Emerson Brown 10 18:11 19:01 17:54 18:02 18:20 18:07
987  Blaine Johnson 9 18:18 18:56 18:38 18:41 17:59 18:15 18:01
1,344  Kole Kelley 12 18:42 19:03 18:41 18:49 18:22
1,382  Riley Stetler 12 18:45 18:50 19:18 18:43 18:22
1,506  Lance Williamson 11 18:56 18:32 18:34 20:13




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.1% 23.2 564 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Semi-State 100% 11.5 328 0.1 0.7 2.2 8.1 21.1 19.7 17.3 15.7 9.9 3.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.2 82 2.7 79.0 13.9 4.2 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.0 42 99.7 0.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Gephart 0.6% 131.3 0.5% 0.6%
Kyle Lawson 0.2% 136.0 0.1% 0.1%
Carson Ross 0.1% 148.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Corral 0.1% 183.0 0.0% 0.0%
Nevin Ryan 0.1% 187.0 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Heckert 0.1% 192.0 0.0% 0.0%
Emerson Brown 0.1% 199.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Gephart 100% 62.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Kyle Lawson 100% 72.0 0.0 99.3%
Carson Ross 100% 85.2 96.7%
Jacob Corral 100% 124.3 39.0%
Nevin Ryan 100% 132.2 20.9%
Austin Heckert 100% 135.5 15.0%
Emerson Brown 100% 142.0 5.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Gephart 100% 7.7 2.1 5.3 9.4 12.3 12.7 11.6 10.0 8.6 7.1 5.2 4.6 3.1 2.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Kyle Lawson 100% 10.1 0.5 1.5 3.7 6.1 8.1 9.5 9.7 9.9 8.7 8.1 6.9 6.2 5.0 4.1 3.4 2.5 2.0 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Carson Ross 100% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.7 2.4 3.9 4.8 5.9 6.8 7.3 7.9 8.2 8.3 8.0 6.8 5.7 5.1 4.1 3.3 2.5 1.7 1.6 1.1 100.0%
Jacob Corral 100% 27.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.2 3.1 3.6 3.7 5.2 5.0 5.9 100.0%
Nevin Ryan 100% 32.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.6 2.3 2.7 3.2 100.0%
Austin Heckert 100% 34.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.2 100.0%
Emerson Brown 100% 38.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Gephart 2.8 27.5 29.0 20.6 11.3 6.4 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Kyle Lawson 4.0 8.1 19.3 22.9 19.4 12.7 8.3 4.8 3.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Carson Ross 5.9 1.1 4.3 10.7 16.7 19.1 17.2 12.6 9.5 5.0 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
Jacob Corral 12.4 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.1 4.7 9.4 12.8 13.2 13.0 10.8 10.1 8.0 5.7 3.9 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Nevin Ryan 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.7 3.5 5.6 7.7 9.8 11.2 11.2 11.9 11.5 9.8 7.2 4.4 2.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1
Austin Heckert 16.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.6 3.2 5.4 7.6 9.2 10.6 11.5 11.9 11.9 11.0 8.2 3.6 2.0 0.6 0.4 0.1
Emerson Brown 18.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.8 2.8 4.3 6.1 7.9 10.6 13.6 15.4 15.6 10.5 5.3 2.5 1.3 0.4