All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Warsaw Classic |
Marion Invitational |
Indiana All-Catholic Championship |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
Summit Athletic Conference |
Bellmont Sectional |
Marion Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/23 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
| Team Rating |
1,049 |
1,058 |
1,007 |
1,211 |
1,044 |
1,120 |
1,115 |
1,067 |
1,085 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
1,031 |
987 |
1,091 |
1,044 |
1,091 |
1,089 |
1,059 |
1,031 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Warsaw Classic |
Marion Invitational |
Indiana All-Catholic Championship |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
Summit Athletic Conference |
Bellmont Sectional |
Marion Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 253 |
Joe Deiser |
12 |
17:07 |
16:44 |
16:46 |
17:23 |
16:55 |
17:04 |
16:58 |
17:26 |
17:18 |
17:18 |
| 392 |
Stephen Busch |
10 |
17:26 |
17:14 |
17:17 |
17:33 |
17:20 |
17:34 |
17:37 |
17:31 |
17:30 |
17:11 |
| 791 |
Simon Derloshon |
10 |
18:02 |
18:04 |
17:51 |
18:11 |
18:08 |
17:53 |
18:03 |
18:09 |
18:01 |
|
|
Chase Lomont |
11 |
20:11 |
20:45 |
|
|
20:22 |
20:46 |
20:46 |
19:48 |
19:44 |
|
|
Brian Pantoja |
9 |
20:25 |
|
20:26 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Javier Bayouth |
9 |
20:36 |
20:28 |
20:17 |
21:06 |
20:21 |
20:47 |
20:44 |
20:31 |
|
|
|
Omar Nieto |
9 |
20:58 |
20:52 |
21:07 |
21:00 |
21:03 |
21:27 |
20:38 |
20:38 |
21:06 |
|
|
Gavin Ealey |
9 |
21:40 |
22:33 |
22:11 |
21:49 |
21:14 |
22:16 |
21:32 |
21:22 |
21:19 |
|
|
Clay Ealey |
11 |
22:18 |
22:34 |
22:21 |
21:56 |
22:40 |
22:40 |
22:02 |
|
22:04 |
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
13.3% |
15.9 |
428 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
2.7 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
65.5% |
6.5 |
168 |
|
|
|
0.5 |
12.8 |
23.7 |
16.9 |
8.5 |
2.8 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
5.1 |
128 |
|
0.0 |
6.0 |
23.6 |
36.0 |
26.9 |
7.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joe Deiser |
2.0% |
123.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.0% |
2.0% |
| Stephen Busch |
0.0% |
138.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joe Deiser |
100% |
54.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Stephen Busch |
99.0% |
83.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.8% |
99.0% |
| Simon Derloshon |
24.8% |
123.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.4% |
20.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joe Deiser |
100% |
6.0 |
|
|
6.5 |
11.1 |
15.6 |
16.4 |
12.6 |
8.7 |
8.0 |
5.6 |
4.4 |
3.4 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Stephen Busch |
100% |
13.5 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
2.3 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
5.8 |
6.3 |
6.9 |
7.1 |
7.9 |
8.2 |
7.3 |
7.1 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
4.6 |
3.8 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Simon Derloshon |
100% |
32.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joe Deiser |
1.9 |
|
54.0 |
18.8 |
12.0 |
8.1 |
4.0 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Stephen Busch |
5.6 |
|
1.3 |
12.6 |
11.5 |
13.9 |
17.2 |
14.5 |
11.7 |
8.6 |
4.6 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Simon Derloshon |
15.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
3.6 |
6.1 |
7.9 |
9.0 |
9.7 |
10.1 |
9.6 |
9.7 |
9.0 |
8.4 |
7.1 |
4.0 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
