Bluffton
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #191
New Haven Semi-State Rank #53
Marion Regional Rank #13
Bellmont Sectional Rank #13
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 16.1%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Manchester Invitational IWU Wildcat Invitational South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional
Date 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/8 10/15
Team Rating 1,147 1,107 1,165 1,111 1,135
Team Adjusted Rating 1,107 1,165 1,111 1,135
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Manchester Invitational IWU Wildcat Invitational South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional
790  Colton Anderson 12 18:02 18:47 18:04 17:32 17:49 18:12 18:03
1,375  Aaron Carnall 9 18:44 19:30 18:46 18:49 18:33 18:40 18:34
1,436  Hudson Shalley 11 18:50 18:32 18:44 19:38 18:53 18:51 18:43
Eli Kitt 12 19:22 20:18 19:25 19:26 19:17 19:03
Chance Anderson 12 19:25 21:09 18:55 19:12 19:25 19:30




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 16.1% 9.6 207 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.5 11.1
Sectionals 100% 6.4 144 0.0 1.4 4.9 9.7 21.2 59.7 3.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colton Anderson 21.4% 122.5 21.4% 21.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colton Anderson 100% 32.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.1 3.0 3.4 100.0% 100.0%
Aaron Carnall 99.7% 54.6 99.7% 99.7%
Hudson Shalley 98.8% 57.2 98.5% 98.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colton Anderson 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.9 4.0 6.9 7.6 8.4 9.1 10.1 9.2 9.3 9.3 8.8 7.1 4.3 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1
Aaron Carnall 25.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 3.5 6.6 9.4 11.1 13.0
Hudson Shalley 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.8 4.6 6.5 9.3