Christian Academy of IN
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #25
Brown County Semi-State Rank #4
Crawford County Regional Rank #2
Crawford County Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 16th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.9%
Advance to State Finals 75.3%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating THSB State Preview Bluegrass Invitational Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Silver Creek Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Provfidence Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/20 9/24 9/27 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 397 586 NEI 355 452 478 471 538 501
Team Adjusted Rating 406 NEI 355 417 355 471 419 405
State RankRunnerSeason Rating THSB State Preview Bluegrass Invitational Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Silver Creek Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Provfidence Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
3  Skylar Stidam 11 15:42 NEI 16:07 16:23 15:50 16:38 16:16 15:44 15:35
50  Caleb Futter 10 16:20 16:15 NEI 15:49 16:27 15:55 16:38 16:20 16:18 17:21
107  Bryce Dunn 9 16:37 16:26 NEI 16:34 16:27 16:55
625  Evan Heitz 10 17:48 17:52 NEI 17:37 17:40 17:54 17:49 17:54
658  Jaden Hardesty 9 17:51 18:07 NEI 17:43 18:14 17:44 17:41 17:50 17:55
835  Hunter Estes 12 18:05 18:25 NEI 18:03 17:47 18:15 NEI 17:56 18:12 17:54
1,200  Noah Futter 9 18:31 18:28 NEI 17:58 19:15 19:08 18:19 18:49 18:15
Nick Conrad 9 19:21 19:19 NEI 19:10 19:25 19:09 NEI 19:36




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 75.3% 16.2 400 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.5 3.2 5.3 8.1 10.3 11.7 11.1 8.6 6.5 4.1 2.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
Semi-State 100% 5.6 191 0.1 0.7 4.4 17.6 28.7 23.9 14.9 7.3 2.3 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.9 68 8.0 91.2 0.8 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 41 99.6 0.4 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skylar Stidam 100% 4.9 0.4 9.1 17.6 13.6 10.5 7.2 7.1 5.4 4.9 3.7 3.3 2.6 2.0 1.9 1.4 1.6 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Caleb Futter 90.9% 51.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 62.9% 87.8%
Bryce Dunn 76.6% 90.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.0% 41.7%
Evan Heitz 75.3% 192.6 0.0% 0.0%
Jaden Hardesty 75.3% 194.4 0.0% 0.0%
Hunter Estes 75.3% 201.5 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Futter 75.3% 206.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skylar Stidam 100% 1.0 64.7 24.5 7.1 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Caleb Futter 100% 9.1 0.8 2.9 5.8 7.5 8.2 8.4 7.9 7.9 7.4 6.3 5.7 5.2 4.4 3.7 3.3 2.9 2.4 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Bryce Dunn 100% 20.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.5 4.5 5.0 4.4 4.5 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.2 3.8 100.0%
Evan Heitz 100% 116.4 21.9%
Jaden Hardesty 100% 120.3 16.2%
Hunter Estes 100% 136.5 2.2%
Noah Futter 100% 156.2 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skylar Stidam 100% 1.0 96.4 3.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Caleb Futter 100% 3.8 15.9 20.0 17.5 15.0 13.0 10.3 6.7 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Bryce Dunn 100% 7.6 0.3 1.6 3.8 6.9 9.9 14.0 21.0 28.4 8.7 3.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Evan Heitz 100% 30.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.6 3.3 3.7 100.0%
Jaden Hardesty 100% 32.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.9 100.0%
Hunter Estes 100% 41.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 99.1%
Noah Futter 100% 59.7 64.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skylar Stidam 1.0 100.0
Caleb Futter 1.5 95.9 3.9 0.2 0.0
Bryce Dunn 2.6 3.3 84.6 8.9 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Evan Heitz 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.6 5.9 7.8 10.3 10.8 11.2 10.2 9.0 7.0 5.5 4.2 3.4 2.8 2.3 1.6
Jaden Hardesty 16.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.6 3.5 5.6 7.6 10.1 10.4 10.5 9.5 8.4 7.2 5.7 4.5 3.6 3.1 2.2
Hunter Estes 22.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.6 4.3 5.0 6.1 7.1 7.2 8.0 8.5 7.6 7.0
Noah Futter 35.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2