Michigan City
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #46
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #11
New Prairie Regional Rank #5
Chesterton Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 3.6%
Advance to Semi-State 95.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Manchester Invitational Cougar Kickoff Classic Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/3 9/6 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 521 625 NEI 566 563 536 537 469 532 490
Team Adjusted Rating 546 NEI 566 563 536 537 469 532 490
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Manchester Invitational Cougar Kickoff Classic Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
27  Bryon Berg 12 16:08 15:58 NEI 15:53 16:07 16:12 16:27 16:10 15:57 16:08 16:06
162  Jacob Adams 12 16:50 16:49 NEI 16:46 17:03 16:39 16:50 16:42 17:02 16:43
239  Noah Scherf 12 17:05 17:20 NEI 17:05 16:45 17:14 17:11 17:00 16:55 17:09
304  Loukas Karallas 11 17:15 17:26 NEI 17:23 17:26 17:16 17:05 17:01 17:08 17:09
Damian Albisu 9 19:02 NEI 19:42 19:29 19:09 19:30 18:46 19:23 18:45
Billy Watts 10 19:08 20:02 19:39 20:09 20:11 19:04 19:31 19:35 18:51
Logan Haas 10 19:53 20:14 20:26 19:57 19:38 19:25 19:51 19:58
Gabe Galvan 9 20:25 21:41 20:39 20:05 20:12




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 3.6% 16.9 412 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 95.7% 9.8 254 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.4 5.4 10.8 16.8 24.2 24.4 9.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100.0% 4.6 109 0.3 1.9 7.2 22.5 63.7 4.1 0.2
Sectionals 100% 4.6 102 0.1 1.0 5.5 22.5 70.9 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryon Berg 99.5% 29.5 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.3 2.3 2.1 99.5% 99.5%
Jacob Adams 14.1% 100.0 10.9% 13.4%
Noah Scherf 3.9% 121.7 0.3% 0.7%
Loukas Karallas 3.6% 139.5 0.0% 0.0%
Damian Albisu 3.6% 205.4 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Watts 3.6% 205.9 0.0% 0.0%
Logan Haas 3.6% 207.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryon Berg 100% 5.8 2.4 5.9 8.8 11.6 12.1 11.2 9.9 8.2 7.0 5.5 3.8 3.2 2.6 2.1 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Jacob Adams 100% 33.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.5 100.0% 100.0%
Noah Scherf 99.7% 50.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 93.1% 99.4%
Loukas Karallas 98.1% 62.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 55.9% 93.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryon Berg 100% 1.1 47.0 28.2 13.0 6.2 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Jacob Adams 100% 11.8 0.1 0.7 1.2 2.3 3.3 4.7 5.8 6.8 7.9 9.4 9.6 9.3 8.8 7.2 5.9 5.0 3.6 2.8 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Noah Scherf 100% 18.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.4 2.4 2.9 4.3 5.8 6.4 7.3 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.4 7.5 6.2 5.0 3.9 2.8 100.0% 100.0%
Loukas Karallas 100% 22.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 2.1 2.9 3.7 4.6 5.4 6.7 7.4 7.9 7.6 7.4 6.8 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryon Berg 1.1 47.7 28.1 13.7 6.0 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Jacob Adams 10.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.7 6.0 7.0 7.8 10.6 12.4 11.8 9.8 8.2 6.7 4.8 3.6 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Noah Scherf 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.2 3.3 6.0 7.1 8.8 9.1 10.2 10.4 9.8 8.3 6.5 4.6 3.1 2.4 1.8 1.0 0.9
Loukas Karallas 19.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.6 2.8 3.9 5.0 6.6 8.4 9.8 9.9 9.3 7.9 6.7 5.9 4.8 3.8