Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #14
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #7
Noblesville Regional Rank #6
Noblesville Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 1.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 12.5%
Advance to State Finals 23.5%
Advance to Semi-State 27.3%
Advance to Regional 94.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Harrison Invitational Hamilton County Championships Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Flashrock Invitational New Haven Classic Hoosier Crossroads Conference North Central JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/23 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/4 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 321 545 1,002 366 302 247 267 417 1,001 457 368
Team Adjusted Rating 291 321 283 302 247 267 328 321 439 338
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Harrison Invitational Hamilton County Championships Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Flashrock Invitational New Haven Classic Hoosier Crossroads Conference North Central JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
33  Eric Hoffman 12 16:11 15:59 15:37 15:56 16:29 16:35 15:54 16:41
89  Levi Neuzerling 12 16:33 16:42 16:55 16:34 16:15 16:23 17:01 16:20 16:18 17:41
158  Justin Amburgy 10 16:49 16:31 16:39 16:40 16:36 16:46 17:15 16:57
181  Zach Freeman 11 16:53 16:25 16:35 16:31 16:42 16:54 17:40 17:21
308  Clay Obergfell 12 17:16 17:09 17:31 17:20 17:11
394  Luke Balciunas 11 17:26 17:07 17:25 17:15 17:04 17:17 17:51 17:21 18:08
547  Blake Hipkiss 10 17:42 17:43 17:56 17:33 18:46 17:30 17:36 17:29 17:48
767  Jack Commeville 11 18:00 18:04 18:13 19:39 18:33 17:54 17:38 17:55 17:38
787  Truman Angel 11 18:02 17:41 17:50 18:45 18:14 17:53 18:04
910  Braedon Gossard 10 18:12 18:11 17:59 18:04 18:35 18:09 18:14
943  Nasser Hegar 11 18:14 18:08 17:46 18:15 18:20 18:04 18:12 19:05
1,002  Jaden Wills 11 18:18 18:33 18:12 18:26 18:46 18:17 18:09 18:17 18:10
1,415  Nick Dombroski 10 18:48 18:42 19:28 19:00 19:02 18:27 19:12 18:14 18:42
1,446  William Anderson 12 18:50 17:45 18:23 19:10 18:38 19:19 19:13
1,464  Ethan Holland 11 18:52 18:53 18:32 19:28 19:00 19:30 18:46 18:25
1,538  Seth Koszyk 9 18:58 18:45 18:00 18:36 18:39 19:32 23:02
Brendon Donnelly 10 19:14 18:51 18:52 18:57 19:22 19:21 19:58
Kearns Nelson 10 19:14 19:53 18:52 19:19
A.J. Snyder 12 19:24 18:55 18:52 19:15 19:44 19:34 19:34 19:40
Sean Zerr 12 20:53 18:03 22:50 20:48 21:05




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 23.5% 10.3 305 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 2.0 2.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 27.3% 5.4 166 0.0 0.2 1.1 4.1 7.7 10.4 3.7 0.1 0.0
Regionals 94.0% 6.3 156 0.1 0.3 1.9 8.1 17.0 23.9 24.1 15.9 2.8
Sectionals 100% 4.7 112 0.1 0.6 5.2 26.0 62.1 6.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eric Hoffman 92.2% 33.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.7 2.0 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.7 2.2 2.0 2.2 89.7% 92.1%
Levi Neuzerling 34.1% 67.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.8% 23.6%
Justin Amburgy 23.6% 102.5 0.2% 1.6%
Zach Freeman 23.6% 111.6 0.1% 0.6%
Clay Obergfell 23.5% 150.5 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Balciunas 23.5% 165.9 0.0% 0.0%
Blake Hipkiss 23.5% 182.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eric Hoffman 100% 12.5 0.1 1.3 2.3 3.9 4.7 5.7 5.4 6.3 5.9 5.8 5.9 5.1 4.7 4.1 4.3 3.7 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.1 1.8 1.8 100.0% 100.0%
Levi Neuzerling 94.1% 35.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.6 2.3 2.1 2.3 91.9% 94.1%
Justin Amburgy 55.1% 51.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 38.2% 50.6%
Zach Freeman 42.2% 55.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 20.4% 33.3%
Clay Obergfell 27.4% 77.3 0.1% 0.8%
Luke Balciunas 27.3% 90.3 0.0% 0.1%
Blake Hipkiss 27.3% 113.3 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eric Hoffman 100% 10.0 0.0 1.4 2.6 4.2 5.6 6.4 7.2 8.0 7.6 7.2 6.8 6.5 5.8 4.9 4.6 4.0 3.3 3.2 2.3 2.0 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.5 100.0% 100.0%
Levi Neuzerling 100% 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.3 3.3 3.3 3.6 4.0 5.0 4.7 4.9 5.1 4.6 4.8 100.0% 100.0%
Justin Amburgy 100% 36.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.8 100.0% 100.0%
Zach Freeman 100% 40.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Clay Obergfell 100% 56.0 100.0% 100.0%
Luke Balciunas 100.0% 63.2 99.8% 99.7%
Blake Hipkiss 99.6% 72.6 93.0% 93.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eric Hoffman 7.4 0.0 2.7 5.5 8.0 9.1 10.3 10.2 9.6 8.2 6.8 5.1 4.9 4.7 3.8 3.6 2.5 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Levi Neuzerling 17.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.2 2.0 2.6 3.3 3.8 3.8 4.8 5.4 7.1 7.5 7.8 7.5 7.0 6.5 5.8 5.6 5.0 4.7
Justin Amburgy 25.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.9 2.2 3.2 3.7 5.0 5.9 6.2 6.9 8.7
Zach Freeman 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.6 3.3 4.5 5.6 7.0
Clay Obergfell 33.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3
Luke Balciunas 36.6 0.0 0.0
Blake Hipkiss 40.6