All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
North Harrison Invitational |
Tri County Invitational |
Princeton Invitational |
Crawford County Invitational |
Blue Chip Conference |
Jasper Sectional |
Crawford County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
9/1 |
9/6 |
9/13 |
9/17 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
| Team Rating |
809 |
850 |
740 |
925 |
824 |
882 |
788 |
810 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
850 |
740 |
925 |
824 |
839 |
788 |
810 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
North Harrison Invitational |
Tri County Invitational |
Princeton Invitational |
Crawford County Invitational |
Blue Chip Conference |
Jasper Sectional |
Crawford County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| 236 |
Jeb Knies |
11 |
17:04 |
17:02 |
17:09 |
17:04 |
16:58 |
17:19 |
17:28 |
17:02 |
16:49 |
| 666 |
Jaydon Arnold |
11 |
17:52 |
18:08 |
17:49 |
19:34 |
17:51 |
17:38 |
17:37 |
17:49 |
|
| 821 |
Nathan Schnell |
9 |
18:04 |
18:28 |
18:02 |
18:15 |
18:15 |
18:00 |
17:42 |
18:01 |
|
| 890 |
Eli Betz |
12 |
18:10 |
18:05 |
17:35 |
17:49 |
18:09 |
18:36 |
18:00 |
18:35 |
|
|
Stone Wright |
12 |
19:01 |
19:00 |
18:44 |
19:20 |
19:11 |
|
19:08 |
18:45 |
|
|
Zach Uebelhor |
10 |
19:23 |
|
19:26 |
19:10 |
19:27 |
19:33 |
19:15 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
9.6% |
17.4 |
394 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100.0% |
7.7 |
173 |
|
|
0.5 |
2.5 |
6.7 |
11.0 |
19.0 |
23.9 |
29.5 |
7.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.8 |
98 |
|
2.4 |
31.1 |
54.0 |
12.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jeb Knies |
0.6% |
111.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6% |
0.6% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jeb Knies |
99.8% |
45.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
99.8% |
99.8% |
| Jaydon Arnold |
19.6% |
107.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.1% |
15.0% |
| Nathan Schnell |
10.4% |
120.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.9% |
2.1% |
| Eli Betz |
9.7% |
127.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jeb Knies |
100% |
12.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
3.9 |
13.3 |
14.8 |
14.5 |
11.9 |
10.0 |
7.3 |
6.3 |
4.4 |
3.6 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Jaydon Arnold |
100% |
32.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Nathan Schnell |
100% |
40.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Eli Betz |
100% |
44.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jeb Knies |
7.2 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
4.5 |
36.2 |
38.3 |
12.5 |
4.3 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jaydon Arnold |
15.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
4.1 |
6.7 |
10.6 |
19.8 |
20.6 |
13.7 |
8.3 |
5.3 |
3.5 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
| Nathan Schnell |
18.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
4.9 |
9.6 |
14.6 |
15.4 |
12.8 |
11.4 |
9.1 |
7.4 |
5.1 |
3.4 |
1.8 |
| Eli Betz |
19.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
3.8 |
8.1 |
10.5 |
13.5 |
12.8 |
11.6 |
11.5 |
9.9 |
7.8 |
4.5 |
|
