Snider
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #38
New Haven Semi-State Rank #9
West Noble Regional Rank #6
Northrop Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 10.3%
Advance to Semi-State 47.8%
Advance to Regional 99.6%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating DeKalb Classic Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 479 447 518 522 469 503 474 456 451 472
Team Adjusted Rating 447 518 522 469 503 474 456 451 472
State RankRunnerSeason Rating DeKalb Classic Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
37  Jesse Hamlin 10 16:13 16:04 15:54 16:17 16:07 16:11 16:25 16:19 16:14 16:17 16:10
64  Roman Jennings 12 16:25 16:00 17:12 16:20 16:39 16:23 16:25 16:21 16:25 16:10 17:03
375  Ian Winebrenner 10 17:24 17:27 17:22 17:51 17:09 17:41 17:31 17:17 17:08 17:25
586  Bryce Jennings 10 17:45 17:48 17:47 17:44 17:53 17:56 17:37 17:40 17:39 17:49
725  Logan Schmucker 11 17:56 18:25 17:59 18:04 17:50 17:49 17:45 17:49 18:09 17:56
845  Isaac Page 11 18:06 18:20 18:27 18:23 18:39 18:06 17:48 17:56 17:57 18:02
856  Tyson Agnew 11 18:07 17:51 18:11 18:04 18:07 18:02 17:50 19:02 18:28 17:54
1,128  Todd Schlegel 11 18:27 18:22 18:21 18:47 18:39 18:20 18:23
1,265  Jared Connor 9 18:36 18:34 18:36 18:48 18:46 18:26 18:33
1,472  Kyle Thompson 10 18:53 18:49 18:45 19:11 18:59 18:46
Saul Guzman 10 19:06 18:44 19:05 18:51 19:15 19:32 19:08




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 10.3% 19.4 449 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.8 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.1
Semi-State 47.8% 7.5 220 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.7 14.5 14.5 7.2 1.0 0.2 0.0
Regionals 99.6% 5.6 151 0.1 3.0 44.7 44.3 7.1 0.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 4.2 118 0.0 2.3 80.6 16.7 0.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesse Hamlin 99.6% 39.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.9 1.9 99.5% 99.6%
Roman Jennings 93.8% 64.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 93.1% 93.8%
Ian Winebrenner 10.3% 157.3 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Jennings 10.3% 181.4 0.0% 0.0%
Logan Schmucker 10.3% 190.9 0.0% 0.0%
Isaac Page 10.3% 197.5 0.0% 0.0%
Tyson Agnew 10.3% 198.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesse Hamlin 100% 11.3 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.9 4.0 5.1 5.7 6.4 6.2 7.3 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.6 6.0 4.7 4.6 3.6 2.9 2.3 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.7 100.0% 100.0%
Roman Jennings 100% 17.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.8 4.5 5.1 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.3 5.5 6.1 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.1 3.2 100.0% 100.0%
Ian Winebrenner 51.0% 70.8 6.2% 15.7%
Bryce Jennings 47.8% 102.9 0.0% 0.3%
Logan Schmucker 47.8% 119.0 0.0% 0.0%
Isaac Page 47.8% 131.5 0.0% 0.0%
Tyson Agnew 47.8% 132.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesse Hamlin 100% 7.8 1.2 3.0 4.5 7.4 8.8 8.8 9.0 8.6 9.2 9.6 7.9 5.9 4.6 3.4 2.5 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Roman Jennings 100% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.7 2.8 3.8 4.5 5.7 7.2 8.5 8.9 8.5 7.8 7.5 6.4 5.5 4.4 3.9 3.2 2.2 1.9 1.3 1.0 0.7 100.0% 100.0%
Ian Winebrenner 100.0% 39.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 92.7% 99.1%
Bryce Jennings 99.6% 55.3 9.8% 72.5%
Logan Schmucker 99.6% 65.2 0.0% 37.6%
Isaac Page 99.6% 72.1 0.0% 14.3%
Tyson Agnew 99.6% 72.7 0.0% 12.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesse Hamlin 5.7 2.1 8.1 10.0 10.8 10.9 11.2 12.1 12.2 7.9 5.4 3.3 2.4 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Roman Jennings 9.3 0.1 0.8 2.1 3.3 4.3 5.7 6.8 9.8 13.5 10.7 10.2 8.3 7.2 5.4 4.5 3.2 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Ian Winebrenner 25.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.4 4.5 7.2 9.7 11.3 11.5
Bryce Jennings 34.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1
Logan Schmucker 41.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Isaac Page 45.6
Tyson Agnew 46.0