Austin
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #65
Brown County Semi-State Rank #13
Brown County Regional Rank #4
Southwestern (Hanover Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 12th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.2%
Advance to Semi-State 86.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating North Harrison Invitational Scottsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Big Blue Invitational Crawford County Invitational Duke Meyer Classic Mid-Southern Conference Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional Brown County Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 9/1 9/6 9/10 9/13 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 648 682 781 652 945 643 755 637 622 685
Team Adjusted Rating 682 631 652 651 643 755 637 622 685
State RankRunnerSeason Rating North Harrison Invitational Scottsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Big Blue Invitational Crawford County Invitational Duke Meyer Classic Mid-Southern Conference Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional Brown County Regional Brown County Semi-State
333  Ethan Fugate 10 17:19 17:46 17:12 17:37 17:13 NEI 17:18 17:10 17:19
486  Brandon Riley 11 17:36 17:28 17:40 17:34 17:37 17:42 NEI 17:32 17:47 17:38
513  Koby Hawkins 12 17:38 17:24 16:59 17:28 17:19 18:53 17:30 17:57 18:02
568  Ben Rusch 12 17:44 18:26 18:07 17:47 18:01 17:40 18:07 NEI 17:39 17:20 17:43
687  Peyton Hollan 10 17:53 17:42 18:13 17:38 17:53 18:11 18:03 17:36 17:55
1,080  Chase Rusch 10 18:24 18:16 19:17 18:33 18:18 18:17 18:16 18:12 18:30
1,107  Desmond Spicer 11 18:26 18:26 18:08 18:30 18:47 18:20
1,514  Luke Watts 9 18:56 19:54 18:57 19:28 18:55 19:06 18:53 18:52 18:39




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.2% 23.7 609 0.0 0.0 0.2
Semi-State 86.8% 13.7 344 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.6 4.1 7.7 9.6 9.9 9.5 9.0 8.7 7.6 6.2 5.1 4.2 2.9
Regionals 100% 4.5 128 0.0 0.8 5.3 56.2 24.6 9.5 3.3 0.4
Sectionals 100% 2.9 65 1.9 8.3 89.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Fugate 0.2% 130.5 0.0% 0.0%
Brandon Riley 0.2% 158.0 0.0% 0.0%
Koby Hawkins 0.2% 165.0 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Rusch 0.2% 174.0 0.0% 0.0%
Peyton Hollan 0.2% 184.0 0.0% 0.0%
Chase Rusch 0.2% 200.0 0.0% 0.0%
Desmond Spicer 0.2% 201.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Fugate 98.1% 66.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.8% 96.4%
Brandon Riley 88.9% 95.2 15.9% 56.4%
Koby Hawkins 88.1% 99.5 9.5% 47.3%
Ben Rusch 87.2% 107.4 3.3% 30.8%
Peyton Hollan 86.9% 121.2 0.4% 9.8%
Chase Rusch 86.8% 151.0 0.0% 0.0%
Desmond Spicer 86.8% 152.2 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Fugate 100% 18.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.8 4.9 6.2 7.8 7.7 8.5 8.3 7.7 7.0 5.9 5.1 4.5 3.8 100.0%
Brandon Riley 100% 27.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.4 2.2 3.0 3.8 4.5 5.0 5.4 6.0 100.0%
Koby Hawkins 100% 29.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.1 3.9 4.6 4.9 100.0%
Ben Rusch 100% 32.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.8 2.5 2.9 100.0%
Peyton Hollan 100% 38.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 100.0%
Chase Rusch 100% 53.4 100.0%
Desmond Spicer 100% 54.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Fugate 6.8 0.3 0.6 3.1 12.3 18.2 19.3 15.9 13.0 8.3 4.1 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Brandon Riley 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.2 6.1 8.8 11.5 13.5 12.6 11.1 8.8 7.7 5.9 4.3 2.8 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Koby Hawkins 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 4.2 6.3 9.2 11.7 12.8 12.0 10.2 9.5 7.3 5.5 4.1 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
Ben Rusch 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.6 4.8 6.7 9.1 11.5 11.1 10.4 10.9 10.2 8.1 6.3 4.2 1.8 0.4 0.1
Peyton Hollan 17.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.0 3.6 6.1 7.7 9.2 11.1 13.1 15.0 14.0 10.5 4.7 0.7 0.2
Chase Rusch 23.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 5.3 14.5 25.8 24.0 14.9
Desmond Spicer 23.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.4 4.0 11.4 22.3 25.7 18.0