Brebeuf Jesuit
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #7
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #4
Noblesville Regional Rank #4
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 5th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.7%
Top 5 at State Finals 32.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 74.9%
Advance to State Finals 87.2%
Advance to Semi-State 89.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Joe Harvey Circle City Conference Marion Invitational Indiana All-Catholic Championship Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Marion County Championship North Central JV Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/4 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 246 166 201 255 307 198 290 1,068 308 248 247 258
Team Adjusted Rating 166 201 183 217 198 264 246 289 248 247 258
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Joe Harvey Circle City Conference Marion Invitational Indiana All-Catholic Championship Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Marion County Championship North Central JV Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
24  Brady Harless 12 16:07 16:00 16:02 16:02 16:05 16:17 16:23 15:57 16:18 16:02
46  Christian Stevens 11 16:19 16:01 16:09 15:54 16:12 16:24 16:46 16:16 16:23 16:31
91  Alex Pirkle 11 16:34 16:10 16:28 16:24 16:26 16:40 16:36 16:45 16:37 16:42
143  Hunter Lang 12 16:46 16:50 16:50 16:31 16:45 16:52 17:04 16:39 16:40 16:45
151  Joshua Urban 12 16:47 16:27 16:28 16:22 16:26 16:45 16:58 17:03 17:48
159  Walker Jinks 12 16:49 16:58 16:43 16:32 16:39 17:16 16:46 17:02 16:46 16:46
179  Brady Firenze 10 16:53 16:36 17:06 17:13 16:58 16:44 17:09 17:10 16:38 17:24
396  Jack Kovach 9 17:26 17:18 17:10 17:47 17:19 17:15 17:58 17:24
410  Matthew Fink 12 17:27 17:25 17:15 17:54 17:22
818  Conor Swan 11 18:04 18:02 17:48 17:57 18:36
966  Finn Williams 9 18:16 18:32 18:14 18:18 18:03
1,198  Patrick Etzler 10 18:31 18:22 19:00 18:19 18:34
1,499  Niels Caspersen 10 18:55 19:18 18:21 19:02 20:27 18:35
Kyle Brun 11 19:20 20:26 19:55 19:21 19:01 19:07
Michael Gerritzen 10 19:21 19:33 19:05 19:38 19:15




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 87.2% 6.9 243 0.7 3.3 7.6 9.5 11.1 10.7 10.2 8.6 7.4 5.8 4.5 2.9 2.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 89.4% 3.9 127 3.4 12.2 20.2 23.7 18.7 9.0 2.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.8 109 3.6 13.5 24.5 33.0 14.9 6.6 2.9 1.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 33 96.4 3.1 0.5 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brady Harless 97.6% 27.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.7 2.4 80.9% 95.6%
Christian Stevens 90.4% 48.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.9 25.1% 71.1%
Alex Pirkle 87.3% 84.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7% 23.2%
Hunter Lang 87.2% 111.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 4.3%
Joshua Urban 87.2% 114.9 0.0 0.0% 3.4%
Walker Jinks 87.2% 118.8 0.0 0.0% 2.6%
Brady Firenze 87.2% 126.9 0.0% 0.9%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brady Harless 100.0% 9.7 0.2 3.0 5.1 6.4 7.1 8.2 7.4 7.3 7.1 6.1 5.0 4.8 4.4 3.5 3.3 3.1 2.2 2.5 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.0 99.9% 100.0%
Christian Stevens 99.8% 19.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.1 3.5 4.0 4.3 3.9 4.3 4.4 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.3 3.1 3.0 2.9 98.1% 99.8%
Alex Pirkle 95.7% 35.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.2 58.9% 89.9%
Hunter Lang 90.5% 51.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.6 10.2% 58.9%
Joshua Urban 90.1% 53.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 6.3% 54.4%
Walker Jinks 90.0% 55.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 4.9% 48.7%
Brady Firenze 89.6% 60.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.3% 35.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brady Harless 100% 8.0 0.2 3.4 5.5 7.4 8.0 8.7 8.7 8.0 8.4 7.4 6.5 5.3 3.9 3.9 3.2 2.9 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Christian Stevens 100% 14.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.6 3.4 4.2 5.1 6.0 6.3 6.6 5.9 6.4 5.2 5.0 5.1 5.5 4.9 4.5 3.8 3.3 2.8 1.9 1.6 100.0%
Alex Pirkle 100% 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.2 3.6 4.4 4.9 4.8 5.3 4.9 5.1 5.3 100.0%
Hunter Lang 100% 33.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.9 2.9 100.0%
Joshua Urban 100% 34.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 100.0%
Walker Jinks 100% 36.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.9 2.0 100.0%
Brady Firenze 100% 39.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brady Harless 1.9 12.0 41.4 35.4 8.6 1.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Christian Stevens 3.4 0.9 6.0 23.9 44.6 13.6 6.0 2.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alex Pirkle 5.8 0.1 1.1 6.9 27.1 18.0 13.8 10.7 8.2 4.8 3.8 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Hunter Lang 10.0 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.9 8.7 10.2 10.4 10.9 10.2 8.6 7.5 6.4 4.8 3.8 2.6 2.0 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
Joshua Urban 10.7 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.8 7.5 8.6 10.0 10.9 9.9 9.7 8.8 7.0 5.8 4.2 3.2 2.6 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2
Walker Jinks 11.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 5.2 7.6 8.7 9.9 10.0 9.6 9.1 8.7 6.4 5.4 4.1 3.4 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2
Brady Firenze 13.3 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.5 3.7 5.4 6.8 8.4 9.1 9.4 9.7 8.8 7.4 5.7 5.6 4.5 3.5 2.6 1.7 1.4 0.9 0.6