All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Boonville Pioneer Invitational |
Kentucky-Indiana Border Clash |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
Columbus North Invitational |
South Knox Invitational |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Southern Indiana Athletic Conference |
Mater Dei Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/20 |
8/23 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
| Team Rating |
956 |
1,080 |
1,041 |
1,116 |
1,037 |
898 |
1,000 |
966 |
890 |
884 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
1,080 |
1,000 |
1,073 |
1,030 |
898 |
1,000 |
966 |
890 |
884 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Boonville Pioneer Invitational |
Kentucky-Indiana Border Clash |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
Columbus North Invitational |
South Knox Invitational |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Southern Indiana Athletic Conference |
Mater Dei Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| 243 |
Greer Opel |
11 |
17:05 |
17:55 |
17:14 |
17:43 |
17:33 |
17:19 |
17:20 |
17:10 |
17:12 |
16:59 |
16:50 |
| 1,071 |
Nathan Meese |
12 |
18:23 |
18:34 |
18:39 |
18:20 |
18:33 |
18:23 |
18:21 |
18:27 |
18:10 |
18:15 |
|
| 1,331 |
Luke Bays |
9 |
18:41 |
18:48 |
18:33 |
19:17 |
18:44 |
18:18 |
18:59 |
18:36 |
18:33 |
18:40 |
|
| 1,353 |
Axil Raeber |
11 |
18:42 |
18:48 |
18:58 |
19:00 |
18:57 |
18:24 |
18:51 |
18:47 |
18:27 |
18:29 |
|
|
Andrew Wilderman |
12 |
19:10 |
19:29 |
|
|
|
18:54 |
19:15 |
19:21 |
19:30 |
18:44 |
|
|
Byrd Jordan |
9 |
19:15 |
20:42 |
19:41 |
19:42 |
19:15 |
19:02 |
19:03 |
19:07 |
18:50 |
19:29 |
|
|
Connor Seger |
10 |
19:32 |
19:46 |
|
19:42 |
19:34 |
19:14 |
19:36 |
19:29 |
19:25 |
19:44 |
|
|
Nathanael Wright |
10 |
19:40 |
|
|
19:50 |
19:48 |
20:26 |
19:31 |
19:11 |
|
|
|
|
Cole Marshall |
12 |
20:04 |
20:34 |
20:10 |
19:58 |
19:45 |
20:01 |
20:04 |
20:13 |
|
|
|
|
Daniel Reilly |
12 |
20:19 |
20:09 |
20:20 |
20:07 |
20:20 |
20:19 |
20:28 |
20:23 |
|
|
|
|
Jacob Rainey |
10 |
20:21 |
20:12 |
20:29 |
19:50 |
20:28 |
20:10 |
20:41 |
20:23 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.2% |
19.7 |
448 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
19.0% |
7.7 |
165 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
3.6 |
14.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
6.5 |
142 |
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
3.2 |
15.4 |
29.5 |
29.6 |
22.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Greer Opel |
0.6% |
118.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6% |
0.6% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Greer Opel |
99.9% |
47.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
| Nathan Meese |
0.2% |
128.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Luke Bays |
0.2% |
145.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Axil Raeber |
0.2% |
151.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Greer Opel |
100% |
9.5 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.9 |
5.3 |
10.6 |
13.6 |
12.9 |
10.8 |
10.0 |
7.8 |
6.3 |
4.9 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Nathan Meese |
99.0% |
44.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
98.7% |
98.9% |
| Luke Bays |
70.8% |
52.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
64.0% |
69.1% |
| Axil Raeber |
65.6% |
53.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
57.5% |
63.2% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Greer Opel |
6.5 |
|
|
0.7 |
3.5 |
17.4 |
20.3 |
18.1 |
15.8 |
11.8 |
6.9 |
3.3 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nathan Meese |
26.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
9.2 |
10.6 |
| Luke Bays |
31.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
| Axil Raeber |
32.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
|
