Hobart
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #121
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #23
Crown Point Regional Rank #7
Crown Point Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 9.2%
Advance to Regional 96.8%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Crown Point Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Hobart Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conference Crown Point Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/25 9/10 9/17 9/27 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 869 896 877 826 NEI 822 847
Team Adjusted Rating 870 852 826 NEI 822 847
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Crown Point Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Hobart Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conference Crown Point Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
444  Bryan Cherry 9 17:32 17:24 17:36 17:22 NEI 17:36 17:14 17:18 18:17
960  Angelo Guarnero 12 18:15 18:19 18:24 NEI 18:14 18:22
1,012  Scott Kelsey 12 18:19 18:44 17:59 17:50 NEI 18:15 18:24
1,091  Diego Gomez 11 18:25 18:39 18:27 18:24 NEI 18:16 18:34
1,099  Humberto Guerra 11 18:25 18:34 18:57 NEI 18:22 18:01 18:18
1,294  Christian Howerton 11 18:38 18:09 18:26 18:24 NEI 19:18 18:55
1,567  James Corgan 10 19:00 19:29 19:25 22:10 NEI 18:55 18:35
Matthew Deering 10 19:36 21:28 19:32 NEI
Isiah Marimen 10 21:07 19:14 21:07 22:13
Zach Clark 12 21:14 22:04 22:34 19:11




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 9.2% 17.7 457 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 5.1 1.1 0.1
Regionals 96.8% 6.8 189 0.7 8.5 23.1 45.1 19.3 0.3
Sectionals 100% 4.0 119 31.5 42.3 23.0 3.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryan Cherry 99.9% 82.8 99.9% 99.9%
Angelo Guarnero 30.1% 135.7 23.0% 27.4%
Scott Kelsey 21.3% 137.6 13.3% 17.0%
Diego Gomez 13.0% 140.8 4.2% 6.6%
Humberto Guerra 12.7% 141.9 3.9% 5.9%
Christian Howerton 9.2% 150.8 0.1% 0.2%
James Corgan 9.2% 159.4 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryan Cherry 100% 21.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.9 3.2 5.1 7.9 10.6 10.4 10.0 9.4 8.7 6.9 100.0% 100.0%
Angelo Guarnero 100% 43.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Scott Kelsey 100% 45.3 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Diego Gomez 100% 48.8 100.0% 100.0%
Humberto Guerra 100% 49.1 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Christian Howerton 100% 54.3 100.0% 100.0%
James Corgan 100% 58.4 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryan Cherry 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 3.0 5.6 10.8 27.3 22.9 14.4 7.6 3.8 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Angelo Guarnero 23.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 5.6 10.3 11.9 11.5 11.1 11.1
Scott Kelsey 24.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 3.2 6.5 8.7 9.7 10.5 11.5
Diego Gomez 27.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.8 5.6 7.2 8.7
Humberto Guerra 27.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.7 4.7 6.4 8.6
Christian Howerton 30.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4
James Corgan 32.2