Marion
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #161
New Haven Semi-State Rank #42
Marion Regional Rank #8
Marion Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.7%
Advance to Regional 84.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Flashrock Invitational New Haven Classic North Central Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,035 935 1,049 1,048 1,073 1,025 1,041 1,139
Team Adjusted Rating 935 948 1,030 1,005 1,025 1,041 1,139
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Flashrock Invitational New Haven Classic North Central Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
363  Jalen Springer 11 17:22 17:32 17:06 17:19 17:00 17:14 17:17 17:36 18:04
1,132  James Hovermale 12 18:27 18:14 18:10 18:18 18:45 18:40 18:32
1,298  Noah Shigley 12 18:38 18:23 18:11 18:44 18:24 18:43 19:33
Micah Hoeksema 12 19:11 18:37 18:43 19:23 19:21 19:03 19:17 19:28
Joel Barnes 10 19:22 19:22 19:43 19:29 19:33 19:08 19:09
Tyler Morgan 10 19:29 19:00 19:28 19:47 19:21 19:27 19:34 19:38
Austin Warpool 9 20:28 20:59 20:13 19:35 20:23 20:22 21:35
Thomas Schenck 11 20:55 22:30 20:52 20:23




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.7% 18.5 490 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
Regionals 84.0% 8.7 192 0.0 0.7 3.4 9.1 18.1 27.9 24.8
Sectionals 100% 4.9 131 0.0 25.7 58.3 16.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jalen Springer 0.0% 134.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jalen Springer 99.5% 77.5 99.5% 99.5%
James Hovermale 0.9% 137.9 0.2% 0.2%
Noah Shigley 0.7% 147.3 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jalen Springer 100% 11.8 0.5 1.4 2.8 4.5 6.3 6.9 7.1 7.5 7.3 7.3 7.5 7.1 6.5 5.4 5.4 4.3 3.4 2.5 1.9 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.5 100.0% 100.0%
James Hovermale 100% 46.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Noah Shigley 100% 52.1 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jalen Springer 7.0 0.7 2.0 6.9 13.9 13.9 12.9 13.1 13.2 9.6 5.9 3.5 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
James Hovermale 25.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.3 3.7 5.1 7.1 9.0 11.4
Noah Shigley 28.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.9 2.8 4.8