All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Boonville Pioneer Invitational |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
Alan Hopewell Class Invitational |
Mater Dei Invitational |
Princeton Invitational |
Crawford County Invitational |
Pike Central Invitational |
Big 8 Conference |
Mater Dei Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/20 |
8/27 |
9/1 |
9/10 |
9/13 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
862 |
911 |
901 |
1,099 |
|
876 |
|
886 |
876 |
921 |
|
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
911 |
901 |
872 |
|
876 |
|
886 |
876 |
921 |
|
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Boonville Pioneer Invitational |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
Alan Hopewell Class Invitational |
Mater Dei Invitational |
Princeton Invitational |
Crawford County Invitational |
Pike Central Invitational |
Big 8 Conference |
Mater Dei Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 98 |
Adam Duckworth |
12 |
16:35 |
17:27 |
16:58 |
17:04 |
|
17:01 |
|
16:55 |
16:47 |
16:59 |
16:43 |
16:20 |
16:45 |
| 395 |
Micah Keller |
12 |
17:26 |
16:59 |
17:21 |
|
17:13 |
17:24 |
|
17:56 |
17:26 |
17:54 |
17:20 |
17:19 |
|
| 1,153 |
Tommy Kelley |
9 |
18:29 |
18:10 |
18:19 |
18:29 |
|
18:31 |
|
18:17 |
18:28 |
19:03 |
|
|
|
| 1,182 |
Johnathan West |
11 |
18:31 |
19:07 |
18:56 |
18:40 |
19:09 |
18:32 |
18:25 |
17:59 |
18:25 |
18:32 |
18:18 |
|
|
|
Cade Latshaw |
12 |
19:42 |
19:46 |
19:46 |
19:20 |
19:50 |
19:34 |
20:04 |
20:01 |
19:51 |
19:06 |
|
|
|
|
Danner Latshaw |
10 |
20:27 |
21:24 |
20:02 |
20:16 |
20:38 |
20:03 |
20:35 |
20:26 |
21:09 |
20:04 |
|
|
|
|
Nate Morgan |
10 |
20:44 |
|
21:21 |
|
21:47 |
20:26 |
|
|
20:08 |
|
|
|
|
|
Blake Jackson |
12 |
20:46 |
|
|
|
|
20:46 |
|
20:39 |
20:55 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitchell Wilson |
10 |
20:47 |
20:32 |
|
20:47 |
20:35 |
20:57 |
20:26 |
|
21:22 |
20:49 |
|
|
|
|
Luke McGennis |
10 |
20:48 |
20:57 |
20:37 |
20:57 |
|
21:12 |
20:36 |
20:54 |
20:38 |
|
|
|
|
|
Caleb McCaffry |
12 |
21:34 |
21:19 |
21:17 |
20:48 |
21:50 |
|
|
21:56 |
21:54 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
3.6% |
17.4 |
393 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
66.3% |
7.3 |
156 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
3.1 |
8.3 |
18.9 |
35.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
5.3 |
127 |
|
0.3 |
2.0 |
11.8 |
52.3 |
24.1 |
7.9 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Adam Duckworth |
50.5% |
79.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
50.5% |
50.5% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Adam Duckworth |
100% |
18.9 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Micah Keller |
92.7% |
80.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
92.4% |
92.7% |
| Tommy Kelley |
3.6% |
145.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Johnathan West |
3.6% |
145.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Adam Duckworth |
100% |
3.7 |
0.1 |
2.3 |
29.6 |
25.1 |
20.2 |
13.8 |
5.3 |
2.1 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Micah Keller |
100% |
18.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
5.8 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
7.3 |
6.8 |
7.1 |
6.8 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
5.0 |
3.8 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Tommy Kelley |
92.6% |
47.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
78.1% |
90.3% |
| Johnathan West |
91.2% |
48.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74.0% |
88.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Adam Duckworth |
3.0 |
0.1 |
2.5 |
49.2 |
38.3 |
7.1 |
1.9 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Micah Keller |
10.6 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
3.5 |
6.1 |
9.9 |
16.2 |
19.4 |
14.8 |
10.3 |
6.5 |
4.0 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Tommy Kelley |
28.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
6.2 |
| Johnathan West |
28.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
3.6 |
5.6 |
|
