Southport
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #47
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #17
South Dearborn Regional Rank #2
Franklin Community Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Conference indiana Columbus North Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Marion County Championship Franklin Community Sectional Shelbyville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 523 493 464 468 543 538 561 586 565 609
Team Adjusted Rating 493 464 468 543 538 561 522 506 531
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Conference indiana Columbus North Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Marion County Championship Franklin Community Sectional Shelbyville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
92  Michael Crook 11 16:34 16:38 16:27 16:28 16:55 16:33 16:44 16:44 16:28 16:21
241  Drew Shellenberger 9 17:05 16:42 17:03 17:14 17:03 17:17 17:06
412  Luke Manning 11 17:28 17:20 17:21 16:55 17:14 17:26 17:28 17:17 17:44 19:01
502  Layne DeHart 10 17:37 18:20 17:13 17:22 17:37 17:36 17:51 17:46 17:38 17:31
594  Max Garrett 12 17:45 17:46 17:52 17:53 18:05 17:49 18:04 17:41 17:21 17:33
694  Scott Speiser 11 17:54 17:40 17:40 17:47 18:15 17:51 17:56 17:53 17:49 18:26
786  George Vasquez 10 18:02 17:44 17:53 18:36
857  Mark Carlson 11 18:07 18:11 17:42 18:28 18:34 18:01 17:52 18:09 18:16 18:04
919  Justin Ray 12 18:12 18:06 18:20 18:30 18:01 18:09 18:20 18:31 18:02 18:03
1,025  Lee Ellyson 9 18:20 17:56 18:14 18:47 18:16 18:16 18:29




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0% 15.0 366 0.0
Semi-State 100.0% 12.1 352 0.0 0.5 5.6 10.6 12.7 13.6 13.3 13.3 12.4 8.8 5.4 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.1 71 16.4 56.6 24.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.1 60 16.7 56.5 25.7 1.2 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Crook 23.6% 66.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 23.6% 23.6%
Drew Shellenberger 0.0% 90.0 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Manning 0.0% 112.5 0.0% 0.0%
Layne DeHart 0.0% 144.5 0.0% 0.0%
Max Garrett 0.0% 163.5 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Speiser 0.0% 175.5 0.0% 0.0%
George Vasquez 0.0% 179.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Crook 100% 36.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.2 100.0% 100.0%
Drew Shellenberger 100.0% 75.3 0.0 0.0 80.0% 99.9%
Luke Manning 100.0% 104.8 0.0% 90.1%
Layne DeHart 100.0% 120.2 0.0% 68.3%
Max Garrett 100.0% 131.1 0.0% 45.3%
Scott Speiser 100.0% 142.7 0.0% 19.3%
George Vasquez 100.0% 149.7 0.0% 7.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Crook 100% 3.2 23.8 22.3 18.6 17.9 13.8 3.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Drew Shellenberger 100% 7.9 0.2 0.8 1.8 6.0 21.4 20.9 16.5 10.6 7.6 4.8 3.2 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Luke Manning 100% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 4.9 6.2 7.3 7.2 7.4 7.2 7.2 6.8 5.7 5.4 4.8 4.3 4.0 3.1 2.8 2.1 100.0%
Layne DeHart 100% 22.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.7 2.6 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.8 5.4 5.2 6.0 5.8 5.7 5.6 4.8 4.6 100.0%
Max Garrett 100% 27.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.8 2.8 3.5 4.1 3.9 4.5 4.6 4.7 100.0%
Scott Speiser 100% 35.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.3 98.8%
George Vasquez 100% 41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 95.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Crook 2.2 23.5 22.9 17.8 18.8 15.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Drew Shellenberger 6.2 0.1 0.8 2.3 7.2 35.9 23.4 13.2 7.3 4.1 2.7 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Luke Manning 11.8 0.0 0.3 3.5 7.1 9.4 10.7 10.4 10.5 9.3 8.4 7.1 5.6 4.7 3.4 2.7 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3
Layne DeHart 16.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.1 3.4 4.4 6.2 7.1 8.1 8.3 7.8 7.7 7.3 7.1 5.9 4.9 4.2 3.5 2.9 2.1
Max Garrett 20.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.3 2.0 3.0 3.9 5.1 5.6 6.6 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.9 6.7 6.5 5.8 5.1
Scott Speiser 25.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.0 3.6 4.5 4.7 5.7 5.5 7.0 6.9
George Vasquez 29.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.2 3.0 3.3 3.9 5.1