IN CC Stats

Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank	#22
New Prairie Semi-State Rank	#4
New Prairie Regional Rank	#1
Chesterton Sectional Rank	#1
Most Likely Finish	21st place at State Finals

State Champion	0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals	0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals	2.3%
Advance to State Finals	74.5%
Advance to Semi-State	100.0%
Advance to Regional	100.0%

All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.


			Season Rating	Valpo Jamboree	THSB State Preview	IWU Wildcat Invitational	New Prairie Invitational	Highland Invitational	Duneland Athletic Conference	Chesterton Sectional	New Prairie Regional	New Prairie Semi-State	State Finals
Date				8/23	9/3	9/10	9/17	9/24	10/1	10/8	10/15	10/22	10/29
Team Rating			371	NEI	292	269	314	353	386	408	421	374	478
Team Adjusted Rating				NEI	292	269	314	353	373	408	421	374	478
State Rank	Runner		Season Rating	Valpo Jamboree	THSB State Preview	IWU Wildcat Invitational	New Prairie Invitational	Highland Invitational	Duneland Athletic Conference	Chesterton Sectional	New Prairie Regional	New Prairie Semi-State	State Finals
108	Carlos Martinez	11	16:37		16:38	16:24	16:27	16:35	16:58	16:27	16:34	16:52	16:46
164	Nate Smith	10	16:50		16:49	16:49	16:47	16:57	16:50	16:59	16:46	16:50	16:47
190	Carl Frey	11	16:56		16:32	16:37	16:39	16:57	16:46	17:13	17:04	16:58	17:31
234	Collin Huber	11	17:04		16:11	16:17	16:27	16:32		19:09	17:27	17:01	18:24
247	Thomas Lyp	12	17:06		17:07	16:50	17:16	17:15	16:59	16:59	17:44	17:00	17:07
423	Nick Tonne	11	17:29	NEI	17:22	17:27	17:32	17:24	17:28		17:27
428	Logan Fullenkamp	11	17:30	NEI	17:21	17:16	17:50	17:36	17:14	17:37
453	Matt Cavanaugh	11	17:33	NEI	17:19	17:11	17:25	17:57	17:36	17:23		17:28	18:32
459	Jack Acton	9	17:33	NEI	17:35	17:32	17:40	17:45	17:26		17:21	17:31	17:46
529	Joe Angert	10	17:40	NEI	17:21	17:19	17:36	17:59	18:05
696	Bobby Woodburn	9	17:54	NEI	17:38	17:56	17:45	18:00	18:19
734	Joey Roytan	9	17:57			18:04	17:49	18:11	17:47
844	Tyler Villarreal	10	18:06	NEI		18:32	18:09	18:01	18:01
884	Nick Clark	9	18:09			18:16	18:17	18:13	17:53
893	Tommy Cavanaugh	9	18:10			18:13	18:01	18:16	18:11
929	Ty Puskar	9	18:13		17:14	17:25	18:13	18:58	18:38
958	Matt Graber	11	18:15	NEI		18:19	18:24	18:13	18:19
1,220	Will Marischen	12	18:33			18:42	18:23	18:35
1,338	George Azar	11	18:41			18:13	18:58	18:49	18:41
1,452	Jackson Lemmon	10	18:51			18:53	19:17	18:46	18:38
1,523	Ethan Vinyard	9	18:57			18:47	18:48	19:11	19:04
	Ryan McDonald	12	19:23			19:20	19:19	21:21	18:44

IHSAA Tournament Simulation

Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.

Team Results

	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Avg Score	Finishing Place
	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Avg Score	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
State Finals	74.5%	18.1	434			0.0	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.9	1.5	2.2	2.8	4.1	4.6	5.3	6.0	6.8	8.0	8.4	8.4	6.8	4.9	2.5
Semi-State	100.0%	5.1	174	0.5	5.3	20.8	19.6	15.8	12.5	9.9	7.1	4.7	2.4	1.1	0.3	0.0
Regionals	100%	2.0	72	42.8	29.4	17.2	7.8	2.8	0.1
Sectionals	100%	1.9	63	45.9	31.7	15.2	5.6	1.6

Individual Results

Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.

State Meet	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	13	14	16	18	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
State Meet	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place											Indv No Team	Indv
Carlos Martinez	77.9%	88.9		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	13.3%	46.0%
Nate Smith	74.6%	118.1												0.2%	10.7%
Carl Frey	74.5%	129.2												0.1%	3.9%
Collin Huber	74.5%	142.9												0.0%	0.9%
Thomas Lyp	74.5%	146.6												0.0%	0.4%
Nick Tonne	74.5%	177.2												0.0%	0.0%
Logan Fullenkamp	74.5%	178.1												0.0%	0.0%

Semi-State	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
Semi-State	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																								Indv No Team	Indv
Carlos Martinez	100%	21.8		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.8	1.4	1.6	2.1	2.6	3.2	3.6	3.8	4.3	4.3	4.2	4.4	4.9	4.4	4.4	4.1	3.8	3.8	100.0%	100.0%
Nate Smith	100%	34.5				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.8	1.1	0.9	1.3	1.3	2.0	2.1	2.3	2.5	2.7	100.0%	100.0%
Carl Frey	100.0%	40.8								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.7	0.8	0.9	1.2	1.4	80.0%	99.8%
Collin Huber	100.0%	50.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	60.0%	99.3%
Thomas Lyp	100.0%	52.5												0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	60.0%	98.7%
Nick Tonne	100.0%	79.1																									0.0%	65.8%
Logan Fullenkamp	100.0%	79.8																						0.0			0.0%	63.7%

Regionals	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
Regionals	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																									Indv No Team	Indv
Carlos Martinez	100%	7.2	0.5	2.1	4.7	7.8	10.3	11.2	11.0	10.7	9.5	9.2	7.7	6.0	4.2	2.2	1.3	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0				100.0%
Nate Smith	100%	12.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.5	2.6	3.7	5.5	6.8	7.4	9.8	11.2	11.4	10.0	8.0	6.0	4.6	3.4	2.2	2.0	1.0	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.2		100.0%
Carl Frey	100%	14.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.6	1.4	2.4	3.1	4.4	5.9	7.7	9.5	10.4	10.6	9.2	8.2	7.2	5.1	4.3	3.0	2.2	1.4	0.9	0.7		100.0%
Collin Huber	100%	17.8					0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.0	1.8	2.6	4.3	5.6	7.5	8.6	9.6	9.6	9.0	8.0	7.4	5.5	4.7	3.7	2.8		100.0%
Thomas Lyp	100%	19.0				0.0	0.0		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.7	1.1	1.7	2.6	4.3	5.8	7.2	8.5	9.1	8.7	8.9	8.7	7.2	5.9	4.8	3.8		100.0%
Nick Tonne	100%	30.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	1.1	1.5	2.8	3.3	4.3	4.8		100.0%
Logan Fullenkamp	100%	30.8											0.0	0.0		0.0		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.9	1.6	2.2	3.1	3.8	4.7		99.9%

Sectionals	Avg Finish	Finishing Place
Sectionals	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25
Carlos Martinez	6.3	0.5	1.8	5.7	10.1	13.8	14.2	12.9	11.8	12.2	8.1	4.4	2.3	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0
Nate Smith	10.2	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	2.1	4.4	6.8	8.1	10.3	13.9	14.5	12.2	8.8	6.2	4.2	3.1	1.7	1.0	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
Carl Frey	12.1			0.1	0.2	0.6	1.6	2.5	4.1	5.8	9.1	11.8	13.6	12.8	10.8	8.6	6.1	4.4	3.0	2.0	1.1	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1
Collin Huber	15.0					0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.6	2.9	4.2	6.8	9.6	11.5	12.3	11.2	10.2	8.3	6.4	4.3	3.1	2.2	1.4	0.9	0.7
Thomas Lyp	15.8				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.9	3.1	5.5	7.7	9.8	11.1	11.7	11.1	9.8	7.7	5.3	4.1	3.2	2.3	1.5	1.0
Nick Tonne	25.0											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.5	2.6	3.7	5.6	6.1	6.9	7.0	7.7	7.1
Logan Fullenkamp	25.5											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.4	2.1	3.4	4.8	5.2	6.3	6.9	7.3	7.9